“50 Shades of Red”: The ABC, the Communist Party and ASIO

Was the national broadcaster asking the Communist Party to organise telegenic protests against the Vietnam War? Documents suggest the security agency suspected as much, but the only thing of which we can today be certain is that the accusation was far from an improbable

spiesI happened to come across an Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO)  file containing the info below.

SECRET: Report to Regional Director (WA) OF ASIO, 25/10/68
on “Communist Influence in the Information Media”.

15. “A somewhat unusual incident occurred in this media [ABC TV] in 1967 when  intelligence received from “Q”  sources indicated that ABC television operatives  had approached the CPA [Communist Party of Australia] and asked them to organise a demonstration on Vietnam which the ABC would televise. The demonstration was duly held on 3/11/67 and filmed by an ABC television unit, but no details were obtained  as to those persons  in the ABC  responsible for the approach to the CPA.”

The report says that four persons of security interest (though not directly associated with the CPA) were employed by the ABC in Western Australia in 1968. They were an education assistant, a secretary, and two journalists. The report says, “Potential for CPA influence in television would appear to be limited again to the national [ABC] network. However, apart from the incident mentioned in para 15, there has been no definite evidence of CPA influence.”

I sent off the queries below to the ABC ‘s hard-pressed media manager Nick Leys:

  1. Are the facts in Para 15 correct?
  2. The report says that the alleged facts were only “somewhat” unusual. Have there been other instances of the ABC organising Communist Party demonstrations? If so, I would appreciate details of when, where and why.
  3. Do current ABC reporting guidelines (in general) discourage ABC staff from organising Communist Party demonstrations? If so, which guideline(s) is relevant?

With commendable speed and courtesy, Nick replied,

Thanks but we won’t comment on something that allegedly happened almost five decades ago. However I will point out a central tenet of the ABC Editorial Policies, 1.3, which requires ABC staff to “ensure that editorial decisions are not improperly influenced by political, sectional, commercial or personal interests.

The ABC certainly covered the anti-Vietnam Moratorium in Melbourne in May, 1970, but I make no suggestion that the ABC organized it.

The ABC in Perth in 1967 was a public service monster of 700-800 people in myriad departments housed in a sprawling, 6300-square-metre complex occupying a whole block, from Adelaide Terrace to Terrace Road. Admin/management was concentrated on the Adelaide Terrace frontage, with the radio/TV people semi-isolated down on the river side.

Geoffrey Luck, who was Sydney chief of staff of ABC National News in 1967, says, “I would be absolutely certain this [ABC arranging a CPA demo] would have nothing to do with the News division.” News in those days abided by impartiality guidelines, but young staff, radicalised in their university days, were constantly wanting to put their personal views forward. As Luck puts it, “I had to tell a youngster, whose job was to interview celebrities arriving the airport, to take off his anti-Viet-war badge.”

“I can’t speak for ABC Perth but that demo episode sounds like something our This Day Tonight(TDT)  might have generated.  TDT was a  loose cannon on a bucking ship, hard to control and causing enormous problems for management, like pulling pollies’ whiskers just for the fun seeing how they reacted.  Maybe that Perth demo was just something they thought would be fun.”

One Perth ABC TV veteran says, “Absolutely nothing would surprise me  when it came to the ABC. There was tremendous tension then between the conservative Perth ABC News team and the irreverent and opinionated Today Tonight[i] staffers who set out to air provocative stuff.”

I trotted over to the State Library of Victoria and checked The West Australian (where I worked from 1958-69) for a next-day report of an anti-Vietnam demo on Friday, November 3.  Nothing was published. A Communist-led demo may still have happened, but gone unreported. As the ASIO report noted, “The West Australian pursues a conservative right-wing policy”.

The front-page of The West’s November 3, 1967 issue was chock-a-block with  controversy over President Johnson’s then-current campaign to bomb North Vietnam to the negotiating table, Johnson insisting  that it “was the right thing to do.”  Whitlam was accusing Prime Minister Harold Holt of letting “thousands of Australian, American and Vietnamese soldiers die to prove a political point”, and on page three there was Paul Hasluck was saying there was “no doubt at all that South Vietnam and its allies would win the war.” Bad call.[ii] I figured that if anything could provoke Perth’s Communists onto the streets that day, Pages 1-3 of The West would suffice, with or without guidance  from the ABC’s Today Tonight.

Now, back to ASIO’s secret report. Comprising three typed and single-spaced pages it seems a response to a demand from Canberra HQ for an update on Reds in the Perth media. Putting it together in only nine days for the WA Regional Director  J.M. Gilmour was a good effort. It covered all print, even including the student paper Pelican and the ALP’s Western Sun,  plus all radio and TV stations. I totted up 17 persons named as “of security interest”. The print pinks ranged from a staff printer on The Sunday Times to a talented and charismatic reporter on The West (a certain Anthony Paul THOMAS), along with a hotbed of security risks on The West’s afternoon stablemate Daily News, where one suspect was the assistant chief of staff.[iii]

I would be surprised if the ASIO report’s author was sloppy enough to include sheer fantasy about the ABC organizing a CPA demo on November 3. From the coding  around the summary, it seems the ASIO author had drawn on four internal files about the matter. The ultimate source is described as a “Q source”,  meaning an agent run by an ASIO staffer. These Q sources were scattered throughout the media at that time — spotters operating much like the IMs[iv] in East Germany (but less plentiful of course). For example, in 1966 someone advised ASIO that reporter Anthony Thomas had applied for and been granted two weeks leave from The West to go to Darwin. ASIO went into a flurry of checking airline ticketing but concluded he never went.

A Perth ABC source says, “I was told that embedded in the ABC were ASIO spotters; we never found out who they were.  They could have been ex-military who were then  in ABC administration. The message was to behave yourself, if you don’t you will be on report or something. Maybe the ASIO report about the demo was based on scuttlebutt overheard around the ABC coffee pot.”

ASIO intense scrutiny of ABC staff and programs at the time makes it even more mysterious that the demo deal was done under ASIO’s nose.  For all the ABC’s professed independence, ASIO could promote conformity by denying security clearance to individuals.  Historian David McKnight says,

Overall, at least throughout the 1950s and 60s, a security watchdog was peering over the shoulder of the ABC and regularly querying employees’ background and program content.

For example, in 1955, ABC Assistant General Manager Arthur Finlay asked ASIO to search ABC Radio’s kids’ show The Argonauts for subversives.

Finlay was worried “that dangers lie ahead” (as per The Argonauts theme song). Subversives in the Children’s Session could disguise their views and gradually exert their influence to put a pink slant on kiddies’ fare, Finlay thought. In 1958, the compere of Kindergarten of the Air, Joyce Hutchison, was a person of interest to ASIO. Finlay also asked ASIO to do a careful check on Children’s Session compere   Leonard Teale, who went on to to play Senior Detective Mackay in Crawford Productions’ long-running Homicide .

The programs aired were also monitored by ASIO, alert for any left slant.  The mere mention of Prague in an ABC radio travel serial was enough to generate an ASIO report (the show was  found not guilty). ABC manager and writer/historian Clement Semmler  in the 1960s had this on his ASIO file:

It is reported that Semmler, described as a strange, highly strung temperamental person, is a close friend of Frank Hardy, a CPA member and author and that Hardy has often called to see Semmler at the ABC.

ASIO applied a doctrine of lese majeste, literally. Disrespectful references on- or off-air to the Royal Family were followed up and the author’s file checked. An artist, Jack Child, wanted a job at the ABC but an informer deposed that Child had been overheard to make “scathing” remarks about the visit of Princess Alexandra. That was the last straw for ASIO, given that Child had a left or Communist past, although one operative suggested that Child was “not a communist” while observing “all artists were ‘queer people’ “.

sam aaronsPerth’s Communist Party offices were on the fourth floor of the southwest corner of the twee-Tudor London Court. Across the wall a fake Big Ben chimed on the quarter hours. Three floors below, Sir Walter Raleigh stood guard in plaster with London Mayor of history and legend Dick Whittington. The CPA State Secretary  in 1967  was Sam Aarons (left),  father of Laurie and Eric, Eastern States party stalwarts (Laurie became National Secretary).

If the ASIO story of the ABC approaching the ACP is true, Sam would have approved the broadcaster’s request for a demo. All important party decisions had to come from the top. Hence Sam’s personality is germane to my story (plus an opportunity to sex-up my dull narrative).

ASIO described Sam as “of sallow complexion, black curly hair, brown eyes, looks very Jewish”. Sam  had been a truck driver for the Republicans in Spain — no comfy task as trucks were the prize targets of hostile aircraft.

esmeFond of purging dissidents and a Stalinist to the end (1971), he also spent a life in fertile pursuit of Communist women, the more beautiful the better. Ironically, he was, pre-war, on the party’s three-man Control Commission for moral disciplining of members. He concurrently embarked on a torrid affair with a young party woman Esme Odgers (right), “one of four beautiful sisters”, in the prose of Aarons family chronicler Mark Aarons.   (“Esme Odgers” is not a pretty name but we’re talking real life here).

Party president, the oafish ex-lift driver Lance Sharkey, was also vying for Esme’s hand and other parts, so Sam lost his moral enforcer job and Esme had to write a Soviet-style grovelling self-criticism[v], despite which she was back in Sam’s arms within a month. Sharkey exiled Aarons to some remote post, but Sam had the second-last laugh when he and Esme went off together to fight for freedom in Spain.  There, Esme dumped Sam for a wealthy Spanish husband and disappeared to Venezuela.

Sam arrived in Perth as new WA boss about 1948, once again under a cloud in the party over an affair with a young and married woman, according to poet-playwright Dorothy Hewett.[vi] “I find him totally irresistible,” she wrote, “A passionate, highly intelligent, charismatic man with a glamorous history.” London Court headquarters had a Marx & Boon quality or maybe 50 Shades of Red quality. “He bends me back on the desk in his office, but before we can consummate our affair we are interrupted by the old Party caretaker, locking up for the night…”

Sam tells her, “Sharkey has already told me that if there’s any more gossip about me and other women, I’ll be on the outer. He’s had it in for me ever since I stole his girlfriend in Spain.”

They live in a ménage a trois with Sam’s unwitting wife, until Dorothy finds another lover while Sam is on Eastern States party business.  Sam threatens to blacken her name in the party all over Australia. Dorothy reports that, eventually, most of the WA State Committee went east  “to escape the heavy hand of Sam Aarons.”

I’d have to say that Sam was an unlikely collaborator with ABC provocateurs, unless they were beautiful females.

Next question is whether the ambience and culture of ABC Current Affairs, circa 1960s, was compatible with sponsoring a CPA Viet demo? I’d have to say ‘yes’. Weirder things happened in that era. For example, Prime Minister Billy McMahon in April, 1971,  told Parliament that the government wouldn’t permit  reporter John Penlington to  go to China for Four Corners unless he was first positively vetted by Ted Hill, then secretary of the Communist Party of Australia (Marxist-Leninist). Penlington didn’t go.[vii]

The tone at ABC Current Affairs in the 1960s had been set by Talks supervisor Allan Ashbolt, an ex-AIF commando turned actor and film-maker who led a coterie of aggressive ABC talent. He had been inspired by New York (so-called) intellectuals towards “democratic socialism”. In 1963 he took over Four Corners, and created a political storm with an unconventional take on the RSL. Though fairly mild, this program included as a talking head one Alec Robertson, editor of the Communist Party newspaper Tribune, opining that the RSL was thwarting citizens’ desire “to build for themselves a secure and peaceful future”. Though qualified for the program through his wartime service as an officer, Robertson looked shifty on the box, “a filling in a front tooth glinting under the lights”.[viii] Ashbolt  was sacked from Four Corners but reinstated in 1964.

In 1967 Four Corners was joined by a kid brother, This Day Tonight, which began in April, 1967,  seven months before the alleged ABC/CPA Perth demo in November. Historian Ken Inglis wrote, “The TDT approach was not merely to report events but to create them, especially by having people confront  each other…both news and a kind of sport.” Shades of Q&A, circa 2015. Compere Bill Peach wrote,  “There was no jealousy more intense than the jealousy between the different program divisions of the ABC.” TDT sometimes even paid interviewees to appear on TDT rather than News.

TDT set out to upset applecarts, and succeeded. An example was its second broadcast, which apart from speculating on ABC board appointments,  featured author Frank Hardy, live to air, telling yarns. Hardy said overseas tourists loved Australians: “They all said the same thing. Finest people in the world, and the most generous too. They said the Australians would share anything they had, even give you the coat off their own back. The salt of the earth. There was just one thing to watch, they all said.”

“What’s that?” Bill Peach asked.

“They all said you have to watch out for those white bastards.”

The Perth version of TDTToday Tonight,  at the time of the demo was run by New Zealander Bruce Buchanan, who later went on to become Executive Producer of  TDT in Sydney. There he became a thorn in the side of ABC top management over what they called “errors of judgement” and what staff called lively TV. Buchanan shook things up in WA with stunts like greeting random people in Albany, “G’day, you old bastard!” to see whether the term still caused offence.

The program’s Vietnam War coverage was provocative. Peach wrote that TDT was happy to give anti-Viet-war people a platform:

“We thought it was our job to pursue the truth, including the truth that many intelligent and loyal citizens believed that we were on the wrong track in Vietnam. It was TDT’s hottest potato, and the source of most accusations against us of bias.”

Historian Inglis instances TDT devoting an interview segment in 1968 to Communist journalist Malcolm Salmon, fresh from North Vietnam. In that same year, Bill Peach on TDT mistakenly claimed that two companies of Regular Army troops were standing by to quell an anti-war demo outside the St Kilda Road consulate of the US embassy. In November, 1971,  TDT interviewed a draft-resister student on the run from police.

Sadly, despite all my verbiage above, we are not going to resolve whether rogue elements of the Perth ABC organised and filmed a CPA anti-war demo in 1967. The files show ASIO was in no doubt about it. Mad things did happen in those days, but the likelihood that Perth Communist supremo Sam Aarons would kow-tow to ABC journos is low. On the other hand, the gung-ho culture of ABC Current Affairs was amenable to such stunts, but ASIO informers in the ABC were a threat to anyone wanting to liaise with CPA headquarters. We have no newspaper evidence that the November 3 demo happened, but it was a propitious day for such a rally. So is the ASIO story true? I’ll give it a definite ‘Maybe’.

Tony Thomas blogs at No BS Here (I Hope)

[i]  Not to be confused with Channel 7’s later Today Tonight.

[ii] Two months earlier, ABC General Manager Talbot Duckmanton had been personally assured by President Johnson during a White House meeting that the war “was both just and winnable”.  Ken Inglis, This is the ABC.

[iii] Several Daily News journalists, including the senior one mentioned, had in earlier years moonlighted from the Daily News at weekends putting together the WA page of the national Communist weekly Tribune. Justina Williams, Anger & Love, Fremantle Arts Centre Press, 1993, p157

[iv] Inoffizieller Mitarbeiter – unofficial cooperators

[v] “My behavior (sic) over the past 12 months has been such that it has been necessary for certain organizational measures to be taken against me, and has also necessarily called forth serious criticism of my actions…My renewal of the association with Comrade Aarons is indicative of the fact that I was willing to place my own personal inclinations and desires before the prestige and good name of the party…”

[vi]   Wild Card, McPhee, S.Yarra, p138

[vii] Ken Inglis, This is the ABC.  1932-83, Black Inc. Melbourne, 2006

[viii] Rob Pullen, Four Corners, 25 Years.  ABC, 1986.

The Hot-to-Trot Warmist

Remember when Rajendra Pachauri was the wholesome and much-quoted champion of a clean, green, low-carbon planet? UNSW certainly does because it lavished an honorary doctorate on the then-IPCC chief — an honour sexual harassment charges have called into question

pachauri lipIn 2008, University of NSW Chancellor David Gonski awarded the university’s highest honor to a sexual predator  and perjurer. Concurrently, the sexual predator and perjurer became the ‘godfather’ to the university’s Climate Change Research Centre, having been awarded the honor of opening the facility. Who was that man?

Answer: Dr Rajendra Pachauri, 75,  the disgraced former head (2002-2015) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) whose sexual predator status was confirmed in May by a three-person Internal Complaints Committee of the TERI think-tank, of which Pachauri — amazingly – continues to be Director-General, albeit on leave.

The TERI committee upheld  the complaints of a 29-year-old female researcher who was subjected to Pachauri’s hundreds of inappropriate messages, propositions and grabbings between September, 2013, and December, 2014. He is now separately arraigned on police charges that includemolestation, stalking, sexual harassment and criminal intimidation. If convicted, he could spend seven years in jail. Other women from TERI also have come forward with allegations strongly suggesting his predatory ways date back a decade or more.

And perjurer? Proven. Delhi High Court Judge K. Ramamoorthy found in a civil case in 1996 that Pachauri and his two TERI co-directors “have suppressed material facts and they have sworn to false affidavits.” The judge said (para 144) that management of TERI was unsafe in their hands.

You might think such a judgement would have been a career setback for Dr Pachauri. No way. Within a year of this judicial accolade, the Asian group in the UN voted Pachauri into the IPCC as their vice-chair, and in 2002 the corrupt and dictator-led majority of governments in the UN voted him in as IPCC chair.

In other words, he was not fit to run what was then a small Delhi eco-thinktank, but was nevertheless deemed fit soon after to run a UN climate outfit mustering trillion-dollar spending on a global energy and north-south makeover. Pachauri held that exalted posdition until February, 2015, when the harassment charges obliged him to step down.

An InterAcademy Council inquiry set up in 2010 by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, in the wake of the IPCC’s Himalayan-glaciers howlers in 2007, told him to step down, but Pachauri refused, determined to keep the chair until October this year. The police charges in February caused him to resign precipitately.

All this raises the question: How comfortable is the UNSW right now with its  2008 accolade to Dr Pachauri?  I emailed UNSW media executive Denise Knight: “Is the UNSW taking any steps to review or revoke Dr Pachauri’s honorary doctorate?”

She emailed back the university’s official response: “As the matter is before the courts it is inappropriate for us to reach conclusions or take action at this stage.”

It is good that UNSW is tracking the Delhi court case and will at least contemplate the first-ever revocation of an honorary UNSW doctorate in the event that Pachauri is formally convicted as a sleazebag. Pachauri has been the darling not only of UNSW’s Chancellor Gonski but of Australian universities all over. Gonski, for instance, spoke of his “great joy” at merely being in Pachauri’s presence, not just UNSW in-house warmists Andy Pitman and Matt England, .

In 2013, for example, Pachauri dropped in on the Albert Deakin Research Institute (ADRI) at Deakin University — ADRI falsely calling him the “Nobel Peace Prize-winning panelist”, an unearned and imaginary honour it has cited more than once.

ADRI’s gorge-rising tribute to Pachauri began:

“Dr Pachauri’s gentle and unnassuming demeanour is testament to his life’s work: it seems only appropriate that one must assume such a persona when acting as something of a figurehead for sustainable futures.”

Pachauri responded:

“The sheer delight of being able to do something for society is, I’m sure, of enormous appeal to young people, and we have to somehow give them an appreciation of that appeal.” He spoke of “the perceived change that I notice on the part of young people. They seem so focused, they seem so concerned about some of the issues that are really going to define the future of human society, and they seem highly motivated to bring about change, so these are the sorts of factors that certainly give me a sense of optimism.”

Professor David Lowe, then-director of ADRI, acclaimed Pachauri’s visit and lecture as “a great coup” by ADRI. Yet Lowe was fully aware of Pachauri’s agenda to use global warming as a tool to shift billions or trillions from the First World to Third World kleptocracies. Lowe quoted approvingly:

“Dr Pachauri has said previously that the West needs to make major structural and policy changes in the way it goes about economic development – wealth needs to be shifted from the developed to the developing nations.”

Deakin has formal partnerships with TERI, and TERI has a laboratory underway on Deakin’s Waurn Ponds campus, and Vice-Chancellor Jane den Hollander was fawning in hailing her  ersatz “Nobel Prize winner”

“For Deakin to be partnered with such an organisation led by a man of Dr Pachauri’s standing is a significant compliment which we hope to repay with outcomes of excellence and usefulness to our respective communities..”

Let’s hope Pachauri, if convicted, doesn’t cement Deakin’s relations with the Delhi convict community.

Let’s also hope that den Hollander and Deakin, as a TERI partner, are now putting pressure on TERI’s board to sack its sleazy director-general. As things stand, he might escape conviction by the Delhi courts and return to TERI, despite TERI itself having convicted him as a sexual harasser.

TERI’s complaints committee interviewed 30 witnesses for the woman, and 19 for Pachauri. It recommended  — without result, it should be noted — disciplinary action, plus compensation for the young woman’s for medical expenses over the stress he had caused her. The victim deposed:

“I feel broken and scarred in body and mind due to Dr. Pachauri’s behavior and actions. I get frequent panic attacks due to the constant harassment and being made to feel like an object of vulgar desire from this man, who is old enough to be my grandfather.

Till (February 2015) I was extremely scared of going and reporting the behaviour of Dr. Pachauri, as he is the head of the organization for which I work and I did not know who I could turn to for help. I have tried to ignore and brush aside a lot of offensive behaviour from Dr. Pachauri as I was very scared of losing my reputation and employment if I complained to anyone. I request you to register my complaint against Dr. Pachauri and bring him to justice.”  

Pachauri says he is being targeted by vested interests (What? The fossil fuels lobby was writing his love porn?). The young woman, he says, is merely working off grudges over a poor performance assessment.

If you take his word for it, Pachauri is also the victim of a conspiracy by cyber criminals, hackers and others out to destroy his reputation as a planet-saving climate chief. Pachauri even filed his own police complaint   about the hacking of his phone and computer. He claims some subordinate at TERI had his password and spent 14 months composing and sending incriminating messages to the female complainant – surprisingly, without Pachauri ever noticing. As one Indian paper put it, maybe Pachauri will next claim that space aliens did it.

He also petitioned unsuccessfully to have reporters gagged from reporting both the police case and the internal TERI investigation. The police in turn asked the court to cancel his bail because he was not cooperating and misusing his liberty to influence witnesses. The woman’s counsel argued that Pachauri had been rehearsing witnesses and   “hijacking the entire electronic evidence”.

“He is an influential man. He should not be allowed to enter TERI premises till the investigation is going on,” the woman’s counsel contended.

The transcripts detailing Pachauri’s alleged verbal and physical assaults on the female research analyst were not of the ambiguous kind.  She deposed that  Pachauri’s continued misconduct left her depressed and broken, but she still lodged the formal complaint in a bid to make sure no one else at TERI suffered as as she had done. She went to police because, after filing the internal complaint, she was given no protection, being expected to continue reporting to Pachauri on a daily basis.

Barely a week after joining TERI, she said, Pachauri was pestering her with advances via late-night text messages. “Please you are not to grab me and or kiss me,” she begged him.

He responded to her knock-backs with queasy messages such as:

“I shall try to suppress my human feelings, and live with a sad restraint on my words and actions. Never to make you uncomfortable or stressed on my account.”

Nonetheless on October 1 he was texting:

10:12 pm: And just to prove to you how much I love you, I shall go on a fast after the cricket match tomorrow. I will break the fast only when you believe I love you with sincerity and unfathomable depth.

10:21 pm: All right we have our respective perceptions which differ, and we can live with them and also let live. Perhaps some day you would know how sweet and sublime my feelings for you are! I shall not call off my fast till you fully believe that sacred truth.

10:28 pm: All right! I’ve got the message. I wish you would see the difference between something tender and loving and something crass and vulgar. You obviously don’t! So I shall slink away and withdraw! Farewell my sweet [the complainant’s name]. But I insist on the fast just to hear you say that you believe I really love you.

10:35 pm: Besides I want to punish myself for alienating you!

10:36 pm: And losing the most wonderful girl I’ve ever met .

Days later, she complained to him that he shouldn’t grab her body. Instead of denying the charge, he texted acknowledging that he had done it more than once, but claimed she couldn’t tell the difference between love and molestation.

On November 14, he texted that he’d helped her get the job but she wasn’t grateful:

“Even you must know that even if I don’t marry you, I am yours for life.”

In another email Pachauri says,

“I find it now very difficult to hug you. What haunts me are your words from the last time that I ‘grabbed’ your body. That would apply to someone who would want to molest you. I loved you in the soul, mind, heart…”

The last straw for the young researcher was Pachauri’s determination last December to make her sit next to him in business class on an international flight – with no ambiguity about  his intentions. Six months earlier  (June 2014), when on a plane with him, he passed her a hand-written note (now in the hands of police):

“I dreamt last night that I did the preliminaries of making love to you, but woke up at the critical moment.”

In December, when she insisted on sitting in economy, he messaged:

“You should reflect on the massive insult you heaped on me by indicating that I was so toxic that you would prefer not to sit next to me on the plane. If that be the case there is no room for any interaction between us.  To me that act of yours represented the ultimate in haughtiness, arrogance and insulting behaviour. If you had any human sensitivity you would have realised what you have done, and possibly apologised.

You are welcome to remain a paid guest of TERI. I really would not burden you with any work in future.”

In other words,  submit or I’ll kill your career.

In one of these alleged e-mails, Pachauri says to this woman, who is 45 years his junior:

“But is a little show of tenderness so difficult for you? At the end of a long day is it so alien to your nature to sit on the sofa next to me and hold my hand, and possibly even give me a hug? Or do you want to confirm to me that you are bereft of any emotion?

You are either deliberately behaving in a manner that prevents you from getting closer to me, or you are truly a cold individual, whose emotions are only aroused by a nice looking young guy who you can take to bed with you… 

I am yours for life and will always be yours, even when someone else enters your life.

And you have hurt me so often by being inconsistently cold on so many occasions. Not letting me touch you, even though I have always treated your body with reverence and as sacred. Perhaps, you regard a physical relationship as a matter of expediency and convenience. Well I don’t, and certainly not with your body which I worship, as you should have found out by not. Even when I ‘grabbed you body’ I had my left hand over your right breast. Did I make even the slightest attempt to hold it in my hand or fondle you there?”

The police sought to lock up Pachauri in February, pending the court hearing, but he suddenly was admitted to hospital with heart pains. He eventually was allowed bail on various strict conditions, including a travel ban. But in June his brother-in-law died in the US.   The courts considered this of sufficient gravity for him to fly to the US this month for the funeral.

Pardon my cynicism, but  the Delhi police seem to be running dead on the prosecution. A local court complained on May 21 about “snail’s pace” police progress, with no interview conducted during the previous two months. During the first interview, he begged off claiming ill-health, and in the third interview, the police desisted early “in view of his advanced age,” according to a senior police officer.

Strangely, the 74-year-old was not too old to chair the world’s most influential  climate body until February while doing global jetset celebrity appearances. At this rate, as it could be years before the Delhi coppers get him into  court, his UNSW honorary doctorate seems safe for a while.


Tony Thomas blogs at No BS Here (I Hope)

On the Trail of Oswald’s Ghost

Much to my surprise, the Texas Book Depository building, where a lone nut fired the shots that changed history, is a serious and informative museum devoted to the events of November 22, 1963. Those still troubled by thoughts of conspiracy might find a visit answers quite a few questions

book depositoryI went along to the Dallas Book Depository building (left) to see the JFK assassination site, expecting it to be a bit touristy. But it’s not, it’s a dignified and educative place. I came away perplexed, as I imagine most visitors do, puzzled that an insignificant nutter like Lee Harvey Oswald could have so changed world history.

The building is about eight stories and just like a big box. The ground floor is now the entry area and gift shop, and you go by lift to the infamous sixth floor, where the fatal shots were fired. The rest of the building seems empty, apart from the corresponding corner of the 7th floor, where you can take in an Oswald-type view to the highway and target zone. Glassed-off is the sixth floor’s northwest corner, where Oswald actually took aim and fired, and the museum has done its best to replicate what the nook looked like on that day in November, 1963. His firing point is shielded by stacked book boxes which Oswald likely arranged to conceal himself from other employees, and to create a little sniper’s nest by the window.

I hadn’t realised that the Book Depository was literally that. Wholesalers shipped in thousands of their textbooks for warehousing, and the workers’ job was to organise them into smaller lots for distribution to individual schools. Oswald had been working there for a month, filling those orders. That’s Coincidence No 1: his vantage point was the ideal spot, since the highway takes a sharp bend by the building, meaning cars must slow to a near stop before accelerating away.

Oswald that morning had been given a sheet of stock to ‘pick’, unsupervised, allowing him to squat in the corner at leisure, snacking on a bag of chicken pieces as he waited for his target to arrive. That picking sheet is one of the exhibits.

You arrive at the floor and are routed through exhibits and audio-visuals pithily covering JFK’s term. It takes quite a time to cover what must be about 45 stations. Luckily it was the tourist slack season, due to Texas’ ferocious summer heat, so crowds were minimal. You get quite immersed in it all, and it comes as a genuine shock to finally arrive at the glassed in corner. From other windows it’s already clear what a sitting duck JFK was. In the hollow among the corner boxes, you can almost see Oswald encamped there. Trees by the roadside have grown a lot but at the time the verges would have been virtually bare. The famed ‘grassy knoll’ is directly opposite, again more treed over than in 1962.

There were plenty of schoolkids touring the building, and I could see that, to them, the events of 1963 were ancient history. They all seemed boisterous and cheery, whereas adults had a solemn and shocked mien.

I’ll skip the well-known narrative. The exhibits then go into the inquiries and perplexities, this speculation that went on for 30 years or so. The two key evidences were the famous film by Mr Zapruder, taken from the knoll side, and the fact that one motorcycle police outrider’s radio microphone was accidentally stuck to ‘on’ and recorded the sounds. Many of the eye-witness accounts were confused by echoes of shots bouncing off buildings and concrete.

The FBI, then lacking today’s 3D computer modelling, created a physical model as big as a lounge room. It is on display, complete with lengths of string from the 6th floor mini-window to the model car. For all their pains, the FBI version was incorrect. The initial Warren Commission report, in all its thousands of pages, only opened up more perplexities. I didn’t know, for example, that some years later, the US’s top acoustics experts officially  re-analysed the data and pronounced there had been 4 shots, meaning Oswald had an accomplice after all. Then five or so years after that, yet another team of acoustics experts, using superior technology, officially contradicted the first lot and brought the tally back to 3 and no need for a second assassin.

What is still disputed is the mystery of the ‘pristine bullet’. At the hospital when State Governor John Connally (who was in the front seat) was being moved from a stretcher, the slug of a bullet dropped off. This slug was in mint condition, not squashed or marked in any way except a tiny bit at the rear. Apparently this was the bullet that first struck Kennedy through the throat, then hit Connally and, somehow, wounded him in five separate places. Amazing.

Until my visit, I also was unaware that a cop rushed into the building just as Oswald bolted down the stairs to the canteen. The cop grabbed Oswald, but the bookstore boss said, “He’s OK, he works here!” So Oswald was free to exit the building, sparking a subsequent manhunt that culminated in his murder of Police Officer J.D. Tippett, shot dead when attempting to arrest the assassin.

It was also weird that Oswald had lived in Russia and had a Russian wife, Marina, but the FBI and KGB had a heart-to-heart  and, by mutual agreement, the Cold War angle was ruled out. Other weirdness saw the Texas State and the White House fighting over who had rights to the body (legally, Texas did) and the White House more or less kidnapping the body. The autopsy was mightily bungled, fuelling controversy for decades. There is an excellent film, Parkland (2013), that recreates the stranger-than-fiction narrative at the hospital and afterwards, with our own Jackie Weaver playing Oswald’s mother.

I exited through the gift shop, full of books about the assassination and JFK era. While conspiracy theories continue to draw adherents and intrigue the merely curious, the prevailing consensus after all these decades of theories, accusations, investigations and and analysis seems to be that Oswald was, as the Warren Commission concluded, just a lone nutter who was in the wrong place at the right time.

Crossing over (carefully, at the lights) the dual highway to the grassy knoll, I found a buff who had set up a stand to peddle conspiracy material. His shtick was that some woman had taken a second movie of the killing, and this footage had been officially hushed up because of what it contained. He had all the paraphenalia to make his case — facsimiles of press reports about this movie and other apparently plausible stuff. I noticed his audience, especially the kids, seemed quite credulous as the chap rabbitted on in a very polished and plausible way. The school teens and their teacher were all exuberant and, while the lights were holding up traffic, they rushed onto the highway spot for selfies.

I seemed to recall a Woody Allen ‘take’ on the grassy knoll, and have just found it on YouTube, I think it’s from Annie Hall.  He’s reminiscing about past girlfriends, especially Alison Portschnik, and how the Kennedy assassination ruined his sex life.

Poor Woody. If only he had toured the Book Depository, quite a few of the questions that so distracted him might have been laid to rest.

Fresh from revelling in the northern hemisphere’s summer, Tony Thomas is back in Melbourne, breaking out his winter overcoat and wishing that there might be some truth in all those warmist assertions that the climate will warm any day now


  1. Jack Richards

    Talking of nobodies, lone nutters, who changed the world … well Lee Harvey isn’t in the same league as Gavrilo Princip. Oswald shot a President but it didn’t ripple outside of the USA. Princip shot a Grand Duke which led to a world war, 10 million battle dead, the fall off the Romanov, Hapsburg, Hohenzollern and Ottoman Empires, the first Communist state, and Australians who had joined up to defend democracy in France and Belgium attacking the Turks at Gallipoli in an effort to help the Tsar of Russia, the least democratic of all the Empires of Europe. And the ripples are still sloshing across the pond.

    Having watched the Zapruder film many times, and having read Norman Mailer’s excellent biography of Oswald, it’s clear to me that Oswald acted alone. It is amazing how fate put Oswald in that building on that day. Oswald, like Kevin Rudd, was a grandiose narcissist who really, really, really wanted to be important and have people take notice of him. If he’d been born in Australia he’d have become leader of the ALP; but he wasn’t, so instead he shot the President.

It’s Official: Warmists Are Mad

July 12, 2015 – What climate-change sceptics have long suspected turns out to be 100% true: Having devoted entire careers to whipping up scenarios of catastrophe and ruin, it seems your settled scientists are anything but. By their own admission, they are case studies in depression and abnormal psychology

jacketCredulous journalists have found a new genre of stories: climate scientists on the verge of a nervous breakdown. If you go by a recent spate of reports detailing the near-suicidal despair afflicting the warmist elite, something called ‘pre-traumatic stress disorder’ is prompting climateers to set aside their computer models and report for treatment. It seems that working long days tweaking temperature records and cherry-picking data to conjure apocalyptic scenarios takes a dreadful toll — especially with the real-world halt to warming now stretching to 18 years and beyond.

The doyen of climate journalists is the UK Guardian’s Roger Harrabin. His July 9 story focused on an un-named  “professor of ocean geology” discussing ocean heating and alleged acidification caused by CO2 emissions. Harrabin wrote:

As the professor spoke about the future of the oceans for Radio 4’s World Tonight I noticed the tears in her eyes.

‘Stop recording now,’ she said. ‘I can’t be crying on the radio. It’s demeaning to women scientists, especially after Tim Hunt [The UCL Professor who controversially resigned after quipping that women scientists get emotional in the lab].’

I argued that the audience would be moved by her commitment, and the interview continued with tears flowing.

‘I love the oceans,’ she said. ‘I feel passionately about what we are doing to them and I’m worried that they will be irreversibly damaged.

‘I’m seriously concerned how the ocean will look like in 2100. Because with the current predictions we will not have coral reefs; with the current predictions they [her young daughters] will not enjoy eating mussels and oysters. They will not have a lot of things we take for granted.’

“A colleague was moved by her passion: ‘That was really powerful. She almost had me crying too. That’s the sort of interview that will stay with the audience for some time.’

“The professor on the other hand was unhappy. I persuaded her to let me broadcast the tearful radio interview but she truncated a subsequent TV interview when she became overwrought again.”

Harrabin pondered whether her bawling was good or bad for persuading the masses to embrace climate doomery. He conceded that some hard-heads might prefer scientists to be more objective and less tearful, concluding with the ludicrous assertion that “many climate scientists downplay their passion for their subject to avoid being labelled ‘environmentalists’ by those who don’t share their values.”

The barrage of apocalyptic forecasts in the run-up to the Paris climate talks in December doesn’t suggest climate scientists are being over-conservative. An earlier example of climatistic  lamentation was observed at the Bali climate round,  when chairman Yvo de Boer  burst into tears  because a procedural matter went against him. The delicate flower had to be led snuffling from the room. 

Harrabin’s weird stuff was as nothing compared with a long, recent piece in Esquire magazine  by John H. Richardson about “leading climate scientist” Professor Jason Box, a doom-mongering glaciologist.  The main lesson male warmists can draw from this piece is to stop your wife butting in on media interviews, contradicting your narrative and making gratuitous references to your mental health. This is chronicled in the Esquire article, which records how Mrs Klara Box intruded, but strangely the interview proceded as if nothing untoward had occurred. More on that later.

Box had tweeted last year, “If even a small fraction of Arctic sea floor carbon is released to the atmosphere, we’re f****d.”

This plain language about the likely demise of human life on earth excited the media pack everywhere. The fact that Box is an ex-Greenpeace worker who participated in a 2011 mass demo at the White House by 350.org, didn’t raise the slightest media skepticism. Two years ago, Box was getting more headlines for forecasting an “inevitable” 70-foot sea-level rise, involving the total loss of Antarctic ice-sheet freshwater. His concurrent prediction of complete Greenland surface melting “was later proven correct”, according to his bizarre entry in Wikipedia.

Continuing the he’s-a-victim meme,  Richardson reported that Box had been carpeted by his Danish taxpayer-funded employer for trying to frighten the populace. This rattled Box because he had uprooted his reluctant family from Ohio to Denmark only a year previously, allegedly to get away from the taunts of Ohio’s denier community and “to witness the melting of Greenland up close”, in the reporter’s punchy prose. Like Harrabin, Esquire’s Richardson repeats that “climate scientists have been so distracted and intimidated by the relentless campaign against them that they tend to avoid any statements that might get them labeled ‘alarmists,’ retreating into a world of charts and data.” As if.

Richardson doggedly pursues Box, eager for a story about how climate scientists are coping with the trauma of modeling “changes to the earth that could render it a different planet.”  Box invites him to Copenhagen and a family dinner at his home. Esquire ponies up the air fare and Richardson gets the interview, but Mrs Box scuttles the dinner amid marital tensions, as spouses occasionally do.  Important to note is that Box had claimed status for his family as “climate refugees”, fleeing to Denmark’s wind-powered paradise. Richardson writes:

…his wife, Klara, resents any notion that she is a ‘climate migrant’. This is the first hint that his brashness has caused tension at home.

‘Well, she…’ He [Box] takes a moment, considering. ‘I’ll say something like, ‘Man, the next twenty years are going to be a hell of a ride,’ or ‘These poor North African refugees flooding to Europe,’ and how I anticipate that flux of people to double and triple, and will the open borders of Europe change? And she’ll acknowledge it… but she’s not bringing it up like I am.’

“Later, she sends a note responding to a few questions. She didn’t want to compare herself to the truly desperate refugees who are drowning, she says, and the move to Denmark really was for the quality of life[She writes] ‘Lastly, the most difficult question to answer is about Jason’s mental health. I’d say climate change, and more broadly the whole host of environmental and social problems the world faces, does affect his psyche. He feels deeply about these issues, but he is a scientist and a very pragmatic, goal-oriented person. His style is not to lie awake at night worrying about them but to get up in the morning (or the middle of the night) and do something about it. I love the guy for it :)

Richardson manages to spin this rather damning wifely testimonial into more evidence for climate scientist Box’s psychic martyrdom. Having bugged out of Ohio amid matrimonial discord, Box is now considering bugging out of Denmark to shelter in Greenland from the coming heat holocaust. Mrs Box’s views on this new plan were not canvassed by reporter Richardson, though I suspect they would have made good copy.

Richardson does tease out, however, Box’s craving for a salutary catastrophy to awaken the masses to their peril:

This work often disturbs his sleep, driving him from his bed to do something, anything. ‘Yeah, the shit that’s going down has been testing my ability to block it.’

He goes quiet for a moment. ‘It certainly does creep in, as a parent,’ he says quietly, his eyes to the ground.

But let’s get real, he says, fossil fuels are the dominant industry on earth, and you can’t expect meaningful political change with them in control. ‘There’s a growing consensus that there must be a shock to the system.’

So the darker hopes arise—maybe a particularly furious El Niño or a “carbon bubble” where the financial markets realize that renewables have become more scalable and economical, leading to a run on fossil-fuel assets and a “generational crash” of the global economy that, through great suffering, buys us more time and forces change.

As environment reporters go, Richardson, is about average, i.e. dumb as a box of rocks. His intro sets the tone:

For more than thirty years, climate scientists have been living a surreal existence. A vast and ever-growing body of research shows that warming is tracking the rise of greenhouse gases exactly as their models predicted… (emphasis added)

Except the IPCC admitted last year that 114 of its 117 models overstated actual warming.  Undaunted, Richardson bangs on:

A study by the US Navy says that the Arctic could lose its summer sea ice by next year, eighty-four years ahead of the models.

Fact:  Last September there was  5.4m square kilometres of summer ice up there. Richardson also thinks that our very own Clive Hamilton is a climate expert, rather than a professional alarmist and public ethicist at Charles Sturt University.

Having set a tone of risible ignorance, Richardson does quite a good job interviewing prominent climate scientists, such as Michael Mann of Hockey Stick infamy. Mann’s report on 1000-year  historic temperature trends was the poster child for the 2001 IPCC report, but by 2007 the report was so discredited that the IPCC threw it down the memory hole.

Media Watch could have some fun comparing Richardson’s doubtless well-paid piece with an earlier one by Madeleine Thomas (no relation) for Grist blog last October, headed  “Climate depression is for real. Just ask a scientist”. Among the cheer-up solutions proffered by Madeleine Thomas was for scientists to shout “F—k!” and other dirty words to relieve their stress. Esquire’s Richardson used Madeleine’s piece as a template for his own, citing many of the same talking heads, including Clive Hamilton, and repeating Thomas’ error about one particular professor, Camille Parmesan, sharing a Nobel Prize (it was a worthless Nobel Peace Prize and the professor had no personal claim to it whatsoever).

Both authors tap the expertise of forensic psychiatrist Lise Van Susteren on climatists’ pre-traumatic stress disorder. The title of Van Susteren’s tract says it all:  “The Psychological Effects of Global Warming on the United States: And Why the U.S. Mental Health Care System is Not Adequately Prepared.” For scientists suffering psych trauma, she recommends meditation and therapy. Madeleine also quotes psychologist-psychosocial researcher and consultant  Renee Lertzman, a member of something called the Climate Psychology Alliance.

‘There’s a taboo talking about it,’ Lertzman says, adding that the tight-lipped culture of the scientific community can be difficult to bridge.   ‘The field of the psychology of climate change is still very, very young … I believe there are profound and not well-recognized or understood psychological implications of what I would call being a frontliner. There needs to be a lot more attention given to frontliners and where they’re given support.’

Richardson at Esquire writes in the same vein:

“Among climate activists, gloom is building. Jim Driscoll of the National Institute for Peer Support just finished a study of a group of longtime activists whose most frequently reported feeling was sadness, followed by fear and anger. Dr. Lise Van Susteren, a practicing psychiatrist and graduate of Al Gore’s Inconvenient Truth slide-show training, calls this ‘pretraumatic’ stress. ‘So many of us are exhibiting all the signs and symptoms of post-traumatic disorder—the anger, the panic, the obsessive intrusive thoughts.’ Leading activist Gillian Caldwell went public with her ‘climate trauma’, as she called it, quitting the group she helped build and posting an article called ‘16 Tips for Avoiding Climate Burnout,’ in which she suggests compartmentalization: ‘Reinforce boundaries between professional work and personal life. It is very hard to switch from the riveting force of apocalyptic predictions at work to home, where the problems are petty by comparison.’”

Hmm. I’d be brave to tell my own wife her problems are petty.

Richardson discovers that some despairing academics have quit and moved to off-grid bolt-holes in the woods  to prepare for the abrupt climate change they are sure is coming. Fellow disciples of despair have created fifty chapters of this “Dark Mountain” movement globally to run their despair-a-thons. Others have joined Deep Green Resistance, a body advocating the sabotage of Western industrial infrastructure.

Richardson’s ostensible Nobelist Professor Parmesan (no puns, please) was working in Houston doing a study on changes to US butterfly habitats, supposedly another ‘proof’ of human-caused global warming. She announced she’d become ‘professionally depressed’ and bugged out to Plymouth University to get away from sceptic taunts after the 2009 Copenhagen fiasco. She was convinced her butterfly study was the bees’ knees in science, but to her astonishment and anger, Richardson says, the IPCC itself trashed claims of ‘high confidence’ that species were responding to climate change.

Richardson also has a verbal love-in with Michael Mann, who he says has had heaps of death threats: “A British journalist threatened the electric chair”, says Richardson. I immediately recognized the style of iconoclast James Delingpole, who mentioned, jocularly, such a hypothetical punishment for “the most risibly inept, misleading, cherry-picking, worthless and mendacious graph – the Hockey Stick – in the history of junk science.”  Delingpole had also asked whether Tim Flannery should be “fed to the crocodiles”, but in both instances concluded that capital punishment NOT be employed. Warmists everywhere love the death threat meme — including the ANU’s team who, in 2011, mistook an innocent conversation about kangaroo culling as their own personal death threat.

Michael Mann parades to Richardson his “anger, befuddlement, disillusionment, disgust” at failing to convince all and sundry about climate doom. One of his colleagues came close to suicide, he adds – an obvious reference to East Anglia’s Phil Jones whose ‘awful emails’ were exposed by Climategate in 2009.

Amusingly, Mann then bags one of the icons of the warmist scientific community, Gavin Schmidt of  NASA, for “not really being scientific” because he doesn’t chant enough doomism. Schmidt, he charges, is “choosing to focus on the middle of the curve”. For Mann, being scientific means always opting for the most extreme scenarios.

The interview then goes all zen. Mann thinks the climate crisis is soluble (given enough trillions of dollars, one assumes), and Richardson asks Mann if that is another form of ‘denial’.

“The question seems to affect him. He takes a deep breath and answers in the carefully measured words of a scientist. “It’s hard to say,” he says. “It’s a denial of futility if there is futility. But I don’t know that there is futility, so it would only be denial per se if there were unassailable evidence.” So that’s all clear, then.

Mann narrates how he teachers students. He was showing them the (ludicrous) Day After Tomorrowclimate apocalypse film with the  intent to debunk it, but then noticed reports that the giant system of ocean currents, the Atlantic Conveyor Belt, was slowing down. Moreover, Hurricane Sandy had flooded New York, just like in the movie. This blinding realization that the movie was, for students, coming true, “got to him.”

They’re young, it’s their future more than his. He choked up and had to struggle to get ahold of himself. ‘You don’t want to choke up in front of your class,’ he says.

About once a year, he says, he has nightmares of earth becoming a very alien planet.

Mann tells Richardson an anecdote of his young daughter weeping over a Dr Seuss story about a society destroyed by greed, just like how society could be destroyed by the climate.

She burst into tears and refused to read the book again. ‘It was almost traumatic for her.’

His [Mann’s] voice cracks. ‘I’m having one of those moments now.’


‘I don’t want her to have to be sad,’ he says. ’And I almost have to believe we’re not yet there, where we are resigned to this future.’

Richardson concludes, “However dispassionately delivered, all of this amounts to a lament, the scientist’s version of the mothers who stand on hillsides and keen over the death of their sons.”

So much for the UK Guardian, US Esquire etc. But what of Australia’s climatist community? How are these academics coping, like Dr Sarah Perkins, Climate Scientist, Extreme Events Specialist, UNSW:

For sometime now I’ve been terribly worried. I wish I didn’t have to acknowledge it, but everything I have feared is happening. I used to think I was paranoid, but it’s true. She’s [the planet’s] slipping away from us. She’s been showing signs of acute illness for quite a while, but no one has really done anything. Her increased erratic behaviour is something I’ve especially noticed. Certain behaviours that were only rare occurrences are starting to occur more often, and with heightened anger. I’ve tried to highlight these changes time and time again, as well as their speed of increase, but no one has paid attention.

It almost seems everyone has been ignoring me completely, and I’m not sure why. Is it easier to pretend there’s no illness, hoping it will go away? Or because they’ve never had to live without her, so the thought of death is impossible? Perhaps they cannot see they’ve done this to her. We all have.

  How can anyone not feel an overwhelming sense of care and responsibility when those so dear to us are so desperately ill? How can you push all this to the back of your mind? This is something I will never understand. Perhaps I’m the odd one out, the anomaly of the human race. The one who cares enough, who has the compassion, to want to help make her better.

Dr Ailie Gallant, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Monash University:

I feel nervous. I get worried and anxious…

I get angry at the invalid opinions that are all-pervasive in this age of indiscriminant (sic) information, where evidence seems to play second fiddle to whomever can shout the loudest. I often feel like shouting…

But would that really help? I feel like they don’t listen anyway. After all, we’ve been shouting for years.

I hate feeling helpless. I’m ashamed to say that, sometimes, my frustration leads to apathy. I hate feeling apathetic.

 I will keep doing my work. I will keep shouting in my own little way. I will be optimistic that we will do something about this, collectively. I live in hope that the climate changes on the graphs that I stare into every day wont be as bad as my data tells me, because we worked together to find a solution.  

Associate Professor Katrin Meissner, Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW:

Knowing how much is at stake, knowing that I am one of the few people who understand the magnitude of the consequences and then realizing that most of the people around me are oblivious. Some of the people are not only oblivious, they also do not want to understand. They have made up their mind… but certainly not based on facts.

It makes me feel sick. Looking at my children and realizing that they won’t have the same quality of life we had. Far from it. That they will live in a world facing severe water and food shortages, a world marked by wars caused by the consequences of climate change.

It makes me feel sad. And it scares me. It scares me more than anything else. I see a group of people sitting in a boat, happily waving, taking pictures on the way, not knowing that this boat is floating right into a powerful and deadly waterfall. It is still time to pull out  of the stream. We might lose some boat equipment but we might be able to save the people in the boat. But no one acts.

Time is running out.

Dr Alex Sen Gupta, Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW:

I feel bemused. That scientists who have spent years or decades dedicated to understanding how it all works are given the same credibility as poleticians, [sic] media commentators and industry spokes people with obvious vested interests and whose only credential is their ability to read discredited blogs.

Professor Lesley Hughes,  Biological Sciences, Macquarie: We have harvested and cleared and plundered and spoiled. Every year our natural capital declines a bit more as we squander our heritage and rob our descendants.

And now we have this new threat, likely to be the biggest one of all.

Climate change is likely to become the biggest species killer ever, impoverishing our planet and our race.

We have so much to lose.

Professor Brendan Mackey, Director Of Griffith Climate Change Response Program:

I’m really sorry about the last couple of 100 years – we’ve really stuffed things up haven’t we! I though we climate scientist might be able to save the day but alas no one really took us seriously.

Associate Professor Anthony J. Richardson, climate change ecologist, University of Queensland:

I am exasperated. Exasperated no one is listening. I am frustrated. Frustrated we are not solving the problem. I am anxious. Anxious that we start acting now. I am perplexed. Perplexed that the urgency is not appreciated. I am dumbfounded. Dumbfounded by our inaction. I am distressed. Distressed we are changing our planet. I am annoyed. Annoyed with the media’s portrayal of the science. I am infuriated. Infuriated we are destroying our planet. But most of all I am apprehensive. Apprehensive about our children’s future.

Being impartial, I’d judge that, on the one hand, these people could be heroes defending the planet. Or, on the other hand, they could be a bunch of emotional sissies in a state of arrested development.  You be the judge.

Tony Thomas blogs at No BS Here (I Hope)


  1. bemartin39@bigpond.com

    One almost feels sorry for them. After that, one begins to hope that the diabolical conspiracy of climate alarmism is, at last, in decline.

  2. Peter OBrien

    It never ceases to amaze me how many goddamn ‘professors’ there are these days.

  3. en passant

    I feel their despair and believe we must help them find a more congenial line of work, real work, by defunding every university department, scam delete that, I meant scheme, project, stupidity, damned laptop keys: delete that, I meant study, etc. containing the words ‘climate’, ‘wind power’, ‘solar power’ or ‘sustainability.
    Once this worrying money tap is turned off they will have real concerns to worry about, such as making an honest living in the real world. Fortunately, there are still jobs going in coal, oil and gas production which will provide a double benefit of stopping the economic bleeding caused by feeding useless parasites and producing real wealth to help pay off our massive debt.
    Once they have real worries their mental health will be closer to the that of the average struggling worker, which most of us call ‘normal’

  4. rosross

    One begins to wonder if human beings need some apocalyptic future to focus their ever-straying minds. Is global warming another version of the millenium catastrophe which did not happen? Is this what happens when we don’t have a Cold War and a threat of global annhiliation through nuclear weapons? Has it all evolved from traumas not resolved over the Black Death or the hordes careering over the hill to slaughter everyone they can find?

  5. Jody

    I think the whole discussion about ‘warming’ illustrates what happens when the Left takes command and control and their beliefs morph into unofficial ‘hegemony’. You find out how dysfunctional the Left is on an epic scale, how volatile emotionally many of them are – because it is certain that the Left is more ideologically emotional than cerebral/rational.

    Scientists from the Left are no different. I’m sure many of them are phenomenally talented and intelligent, but emotion often defines their value system and undermines it (to a degree) because society generally looks for honest, politically-free, scientific observation through hard, concrete data based on solid research. There have been cases where fudged tests have raised concerns over the integrity of university research, but the community still has confidence precisely because of the lack of emotion and focus on results which we think of as fundamental to science. In short, we are prepared to acknowledge the human condition. This is one and the same cohort, after all, to whom we look for a cure for cancer and other dreadful diseases. Community confidence in science and research is inextricably linked to outcomes. I cannot think of a more fraught area for generating confidence than that in trying to anticipate the weather!! Observing it, of course, is another animal altogether.

  6. aertdriessen@gmail.com

    I have another take that puts ego in the fore. When you hear the likes of Tony Jones, Leigh Sales, and a bunch of other journos interviewing an alarmist (they are the only ones to get invited on the program) on their show, they couch their questions such that they make themselves appear to actually know and understand what they are talking about. Out of their deep ignorance they even try to lead the discussion. It is unmitigated ego.

The UK National Trust wants to stop floods with leeks and lightbulbs

Tony Thomas visited the UK and found old fading National Trust signs using scary photos of flood damage and warning people to “eat local” and change their light globes to stop more floods. He followed that thought to a 2005 web plea from the National Trust, to find them claiming floods are accelerating but using 20 year old photos to scare people with.

Years from now people will study climate propaganda and marvel at how stupid it was.  — Jo

Guest Post by Tony Thomas

My wife Marg and I, two Antipodean yokels, wound up at the National Trust’s Bodiam Castle in Kent last month, awed at its 650-year history. After all, our colony’s iconic historical moment was in 1854, when someone broke a hotel lamp in Ballarat, Victoria and precipitated a scuffle between goldminers and police. The ringleader, instead of being quartered like Mel Gibson  — sorry, William Wallace — acquired a seat in Parliament next year and eventually died in bed. That’s all you need to know about Australian history, unless you’re into sheep.

Marg and I had lunch and wandered out the back of the Bodiam cafe towards the Rother River. “Hey, come and look at these signs!” she called. I ambled over to the bank that descends steeply to the river.

The first sign said, “The Rother – Where you are standing now will almost certainly be under water in 50 years’ time as a result of climate change. A foretaste of this was given in November 2000 when the river burst its banks and flooded the area.” Below this, the sign had a photo of, sure enough, the water level raised two or three metres to where I was standing. And photos don’t lie.

National Trust UK, Sign, Rother, Floods and Climate Change


The next sign read:

“We all have a part to play in tackling climate change and by acting together we can make a big difference. The National Trust is helping by looking at its use of energy, water and waste. You can help too by:

  • Buying and eating local food
  • Insulating your home
  • Changing your light bulbs to low energy
  • Using public transport, or cycling.

For more information, look at the National Trust website.”

Floods, UK, National Trust Sign, Climate Change warning

We visited heaps of National Trust properties around Kent and admired the dedicated efforts of staff to preserve the built glories England. But that Bodiam signage got to me. “Lions led by donkeys,” I muttered about the Trust’s experts.

The Bodiam signs were faded and I guessed them to be a decade old.

Sign 1 about the ‘almost certain’ massive sea rise by 2050 was just daft: the latest IPCC report talks about half a metre by 2100. And bolstering the claim with a pic of the 2000 Rother floods was even dafter. The Rother is always flooding: photographers love tripping down there to do arty pics of  soggy scenes.

Sign 2 reminds me of a never-to-be-forgotten school teacher who talked down to me as though I were an idiot (Don’t say it!). Who came up with that sign wordage? Do changing light bulbs and eating local leeks forestall a planetary Thermageddon?

I took the sign’s advice and found a Climate Change statement on the Trust website , “Climate Change – Forecast? Changeable!” which dates from 2005. It was the Trust’s first go at the topic. At that date the warming halt was only starting and warmists were riding high on their ‘settled science’. The report claimed, “It is clear that we are undergoing a period of rapid and accelerating climate change.” Good try, but the warming halt is now 18 years.

The Trust also threw the switch to activism: “We will be proactive in raising awareness of causes and effects of climate change with members, visitors and the public; and inform people of Trust responses to it.” 

UK Flood, Photo Rother River, 1987

A National Trust property hit by the Great Storm of 1987

To ram the point home, the report has a pic of an unnamed stately property with surrounding trees laid waste by storms. The text says, While there has always been climate change it is the pace of change which marks out the last few decades as something radically different… There is growing occurrence of storm damage to Trust trees and woodlands.” (Their emphasis).  But whoa! This pic was obviously from the Great Storm of 1987 when similar damage was pictured at heaps of Trust estates – see http://www.sevenoakschronicle.co.uk/Hurricane-forced-National-Trust-difficult/story-17068178-detail/story.html#6 (h/t to Dennis Ambler.)

If such disasters are a ‘growing occurrence’, surely the Trust could do better  in 2005 than to pluck a pic from  its 1987  archives?

The authors even fret over visitors getting sunburn because the Trust can’t order them to wear hats and use sunblock. Its own staff are encouraged to cover up, and work displaced shifts to avoid England’s blazing summer sun. (Maybe the authors had been watching that Lawrence of Arabia movie.) The authors also mention “dehydration risk for staff and visitors, and risk of fatalities from unauthorized  swimming in lakes etc”. That’s original: global warming will increase drownings of people who swim in Trust lakes without authority.

We get quite close to the East Anglia University bloke’s forecast in 2000, “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is”. The Trust authors say,

“Snowfalls will become increasingly rare – maybe up to 90% less snow by 2080. “

Cranking up the rhetoric, they continue,

“We simply don’t know exactly what the UK’s climate will do very long-term, because it depends on the future level of carbon dioxide and other gas emissions in the atmosphere, and also because some impacts are highly unpredictable in a complex climatic system. The experts believe there is no likelihood of the Gulf Stream closing down within the next two decades, but it is a possibility longer term.”

Phew, I’d been worried about that Gulf Stream!

Moving to the present, Trust director-general Dame Helen Ghosh caused a furore in  April by opining that “we must tackle climate change” and hold back the ocean to stop bits of the coastline “falling off into the sea”. (I stuck a topical reference here to Cnut but thought better of it). Dame Helen also wanted to stop climate-change-enhanced silverfish from chomping on the Trust’s books and manuscripts, and she wanted to ladle more love to wind turbines.

This was treated by her denigrators as new Trust policy but the 2005 report and my revelation at Rother suggest  the Trust had long been getting on-message with the Maurice Strong and Rajendra Pachauri team (cue an unlikely BBC special: “Whatever happened to those two?”).[i]

Dame Helen is hardly Roberta Crusoe as catastrophist in the West’s national trust scene. Professor Simon Molesworth from Latrobe University (up the road from my Melbourne house) is chairman of the International National Trusts Organisation (INTO), and is seriously ‘into’ climate doom. A down-under ‘Ocker’ flavour even seeps into the INTO website, with a reference to things ‘missin’ in the global debate, and how the Molesworth-drafted INTO ‘Victoria Declaration’ on doomery is ‘often sited’.

The Declaration claims the threat of climate change is drastically understated by UNFCCC and other protocols, i.e. they

“ insufficiently acknowledge the capacity of climate change to substantially, if not totally, undermine the integrity of the world’s cultures, altering most and destroying many…History has shown that the obliteration of a culture leads to social annihilation…” Blah blah.

Compared with this sort of language, Dame Helen is being quite restrained and all those members who quit over her climate advocacy ought to beg  her  for their tickets back.

Australia meanwhile has tumbled from 40th rank in 2013 to 60th rank in 2015 in the Climate Change Performance Index of the Climate Action Network Europe, so our conservative government must be doing something right.



[i] Pachauri’s lawyer Asish Dikshit (true) won him the right to visit the US from June 29 to July 9 for his brother-in-law’s funeral. There is a condition to his bail on charges of molestation, stalking, sexual harassment and criminal intimidation, that he stay in India unless permitted otherwise.


Maurice Strong, now 86, one-time executive director of the UN Environmental Program, co-created the IPCC, but has lived in Beijing since 2005, when a controversy erupted over his endorsing a USD 988,885 cheque to himself from a shady South Korean business man via a Jordanian bank. He was never accused of any wrong-doing and said he just wanted to sideline himself until the cloud was removed.


Rating: 8.9/10 (80 votes cast)

The UK National Trust wants to stop floods with leeks and lightbulbs8.9 out of 10 based on 80 ratings 



Tiny Url for this post: http://tinyurl.com/oy99u3l

141 comments to The UK National Trust wants to stop floods with leeks and lightbulbs

  • #
    Caroline K

    This is the reason I gave up my (UK) NT membership this year (ironically just as I was about to get the senior discount), as I did not want to let my money be used for CAGW propaganda.

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  • #

    I think they will call CAGW “Global Self Harm”….

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  • #
    Keith L

    The National Trust along with all other charitable organizations are prime targets for infestation by leftists. Nothing is sacred and everything which is not actively opposing leftism gets taken over. There is no such thing as neutral and that is why groups which start out neutral get taken over because they offer no resistance.
    Consider organizations like Oxfam, all the hunger charities, RSPCA, RSPCB, Royal Society, Salvation Army, international medical charities, local councils, local libraries, schools, ABC, BBC, Amnesty etc.
    Anything and everything which starts out trying to contribute in some altruistic way gets taken over by the shameless left.
    “OK, you were trying to protect birds/mice/ hedgehogs/artichokes/children/physicists/ rock paintings/alcoholics/old buildings/supernovae/quasars/ terrorists/lamingtons but there is a more important cause which hurts them and it is climate change!…”

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    • #

      You shouldn’t be surprised. Charitable organizations have no defense against Leftist infection.

      Here is another real world example: Red Cross Australia

      This is the BS they publish under their current CEO…
      Refugees and asylum seekers: Australian public misses the mark on basic facts
      => http://www.redcross.org.au/files/15_JUNE_2015_Refugee_Week_Australian_public_misses_the_mark_on_basic_facts.pdf

      Here is when they get revealed on radio: Ray Hadley – Red Cross wants to open borders
      => http://www.2gb.com/article/ray-hadley-red-cross-wants-open-borders

      Things to note:

      * The Red Cross Australia CEO is a former Federal ALP minister. (Robert Tickner; Minister for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Affairs under Hawke and Keating.)
      * He was one of the early members of Friends of the Earth Australia. (Opposed high-rise development).
      * He is using the Red Cross to push the current Leftist asylum seeker policy of open borders. (It is a notable policy being pushed by Leftists on Western countries.)
      * The Red Cross is supposed to be impartial and neutral. Its objective is to help people in need. They are NOT supposed to take sides! Especially in terms of politics!
      * No other news media outlet (mainstream media) picked up on this story.

      The Left will politicise anything and everything. Everything is politics to them, and every organisation is a potential platform to pushed their narratives/agendas/policies. It doesn’t matter if its the ABC or Red Cross Australia; They don’t care as long as someone else is paying for it! (Whether it be the taxpayer or a sympathetic donor to the charity they control).

      SIDE NOTE:

      The Left don’t want to distinguish between economic refugees and asylum from persecution. This is why they keep pushing their narrative of the latter, even when the majority are actually the former. We saw this in Australia. We see this in Europe. We see this in southern border of USA and the nonsensical “sanctuary states” (where an innocent woman was shot and killed recently). The Left is in full turbo mode with their deliberate open border policy on the West. They do NOT care that it costs the taxpayer. They also don’t care where the asylum seeker is then dumped. If its not in their electorate, its not their problem.

      In our case, the majority are quietly dumped in Western Sydney. (That is the gift from the Labor-Greens alliance towards the “icky masses”). My neighbour was scared when she was home alone and a bunch of Sudanese guys turned up to her door, asking for money. They pretend to be a charity when they are not. The police were called when they’ve hassled enough locals. Once the police has a word with them, they move on. No one in the media picks up on what happens with the Left’s open border policy. Especially the long term consequences it has upon society. Because its too Politically Incorrect to do so. Everyone is so feared of being called a racist that they stay silent. Political Correctness (a tool of the Left); now trumps truth, honesty, and even reality.

      You’re probably wondering where is Sarah-Hanson Young in all this? Well, if a situation doesn’t fit her agenda, she’ll go looking for one! That’s why she is now in Europe looking for asylum seekers and pushing her nonsense over there! (Again, another taxpayer-funded activist-politician.) …I crap you not! Look it up!

      See how this is eerily similar to the Climate Change issue?
      (1) They push out an agenda.
      (2) They are selective about the aspect of what they’re pushing. (Obviously to support their agenda).
      (3) They get someone else to pay for it.
      (4) They pretend the consequences they cause upon others don’t exist.
      (5) When the issue is no longer viable in one place, they will find it in another.

      …The same basic strategy over and over again!

      SIDE NOTE 2:

      By now you should have probably figured out the strategy of the Leftist activist. The intelligent ones don’t do violence like the radical 1960s/1970s. They know protesting is for chumps. To “affect change”, one must put on a mask to infiltrate, gain positions of power/decision-making, and change from within…Its that simple. What gives them away is their actions and behaviours. They cannot hide their intentions forever because they have to take off the mask in order to achieve their goals. This is when the public will notice and react! (Often negatively because of how deceptive the approach is. Say one thing to get into power, do something else when power is actually attained.)

      And yes, like this particular article regarding UK National Trust, the only weapon against these people is the truth. Especially exposing them and their behaviour…A good analogy is lighting a candle in a dark room. Even the smallest candle can do that! So when they try to silence, speak louder! It irritates them! :D

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  • #

    It really is sad to realise that so many august institutions have fallen into such moral and mental disrepair. The Grand Pied Piper blew his flute and forever more his subjects continue to follow and dance to his tune.

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  • #

    Really, all it needs is a little scepticism.

    Most people have seen little or no change in their weather, the sea level where they live or in places they might have visited around the world and this is often on old docks which have been there for hundreds of years. Yes, there is coastal erosion and geological changes while slow become visible, but really. Why would one tiny gas and one tiny gas only be the major force in world climates?

    Water is by far the most important gas/liquid/solid and from clouds to rain and snow and glaciers, can change our world in a short time. It is also the other product of combustion, but no one calls water a pollutant. No one suggests that a bit more in the air makes a huge difference, simply because there is so much around already. That is also true of CO2. Every living thing is solid CO2. In fact there is 50x as much CO2 dissolved in the water than exists in the atmosphere. So you would think that a little warming of the water would increase CO2 dramatically, but it is never mentioned by the IPCC. They argue that increased CO2 produces heating but never would warming produce CO2. The first conjecture is disproven. The second fits the facts, very slight warming has increased CO2 dramatically.

    So in this world of scary science where you are told the world will collapse if we do not stay very, very still you have to think someone is pulling your leg. That it has become a world movement of misinformation is due to a perfect storm of self interest, science worship, fear of change and a fundamental belief that it is wrong to be happy and to travel so easily and to have a world without worry. So worry. A lot. If you do not think you are worrying enough, there is always our Tim to tell you where to send money and worry more. Bill will introduce Carbon Indulgences for sinners, so they can keep sinning.

    Scepticism and Science meant the end of the fear of the Middle Ages, dismissing the fear of some of the four horsemen of the apocalypse, death, famine, war and conquest. However once again the four horsemen have been harnessed by Climate Alarmists to terrify the world and force the world into a world government run by the unelected power hungry rich UN communists, scions of powerful rich families around the world. Paris is their destiny. We must save the planet or we will drown, die of plague, starve, suffer war and pay for the terrible sin of consumerism. As Bill Shorten and the Greens would tell you, only taxation and communism can save you.

    L Ron Hubbard tried communism before Scientology. The Rev Jim Jones as well and we know how that worked out. Religion is better than communism. More profitable than actually working and with wonderful control of your scared and huddled masses. Climate Change is the best of both worlds, a communist religion.

    Scepticism is your defence against the Black Arts. Faux scientists are the new high priests or he who must not be named. (Al Gore)

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    • #
      Olaf Koenders

      Most people have seen little or no change in their weather..

      Most sheeples have such short memories that the moment something occurs within their faddish AGW train of thought, such as a thunderstorm the “likes of which they’ve never seen before” causes them to panic about Gorebull Warbling, regardless the fact they not only forgot all those thunderstorms of the 70′s when they were kids (or are far younger and don’t know what one is), but have even moved to a different part of the country.

      The organised religion of AGW will continue until it becomes a fad to rat it out like the sham it truly is.

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      • #
        Glen Michel

        I recall that superb “What’s Rangoon to you is Grafton to me” from JJ. ” Hasn’t the weather been strange lately” followed by an ominous reply.”not as strange as it’s going to get!”

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  • #

    I want a subsidy to grow my own food and I want the supermarkets to be compelled to buy any surplus at a price above the price on offer in the store. I also need a subsidy to ride my bike to the pub or shop,how does $1/kilometer work out? The solar panel owners get incentives ,so what about me.

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    • #

      I read not long ago that property buyers from China looking for Sydney real estate do not like large gardens unless they can extend a home or build a new larger home n the land. They apparently consider people who grow their own fruit and vegetables to be peasants, poor people not to associate with.

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  • #
    Graeme No.3

    NoTricksZone has a piece about the devastating floods in Germany (in 1965). CO2 level 320 ppm.

    And for those who think floods only started recently try

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    • #

      Yes, the recent floods in the UK are due specifically to a public plan to return lowlands to marshes for bird life, destroying human habitats in the process by refusing to clear the canals which had drained the marshes and provide flood protection. You see, marsh birds are much more important than people. So are frogs. Don’t get me started on the very rare Australian orange bellied parrot. Natural Selection must stop now, or else. Humans and especially farmers and miners are the problem, especially if you live and work in the inner city anyway and food comes from food stores, electricity from electricity providers. Who needs farmers and miners? They are so yesterday.

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      • #

        That just reminded me of a spot on the Princes Freeway on the way to Geelong, just between Brooklyn and the refineries at Altona. Someone wanted to develop this triangle of land, but was unable to do so because it apparently harboured special grass and some caterpillar or such that no one ever really saw. I always wondered how this really panned out, considering it was smack bang in the middle of two heavily used roads and in one of Victoria’s largest industrial estates. It also looks as ugly as sin.

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        • #
          Gee Aye

          Yeah good point, it is a good idea to obliterate a species because people don’t notice it.

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          • #

            Rubbish. 99.99% of all species which ever lived are gone, protection or no protection. So watch what you step on. You could be obliterating a species. Man is not a God. Nor is the planet. Survival of the fittest will always keep going, especially with killer bacteria and viruses. Is it be kind to viruses week? Are red backed spiders precious?

            Adaption is rapid especially with the lifespan of a caterpillar. All that is needed is reasonable care, but at what point is a species so special, including humans?

            Are Polar Bears the ultimate cute species or just huge blood thirsty killing machines, platinum blonde brown bears adapted to living on seals and hunting on the ice? Where do you draw the line? No matter how much care you take, species will vanish, including humans. However the obliteration of the horse from North America after 9 million years happened soon after man arrived and they had to wait for the conquistadors to bring new horses. It seems on the other side of the Pacific, the mongols had found a use for horses other then food.

            We also had the obliteration of the giant marsupials when aborigines arrived in Australia with their dogs and fire. Even the rainfall halved at almost precisely the same time, with the gift of fire. Many species have vanished as a result of the mobility of humans. Many humans have vanished with the mobility of viruses, like smallpox and syphilis. One from the Old World and one from the New. What happened to Neanderthals anyway? Are we the new Neanderthals? When will the next obliteration occur with a meteor strike?

            Reasonable care. Every unusual caterpillar is precious and why not move the blighters anyway? How hard could that be? You could help move caterpillars and feel really good.

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          • #
            Mark A

            geeaye ever thought of collecting some specimens of this ‘rare” grass or butterfly/moth and propagating it?
            Also I find it highly unlikely that they only occur on a few hundred acres in the middle of the city and nowhere else.
            I know the area, haven’t been around there recently, I think it was an army range or munition depot or some such?

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            • #

              Caterpillars are far more likely to survive than man! Man only left Africa 80,000 years ago, Australian aborigines in the second wave 50,000 years ago. The bigger the animal, the more easily eliminated. Before the invention of agriculture only 10,000 years ago in the Fertile Crescent, man was largely just another struggling carnivore, prey. The sharpened stick also helped. Aborigines also in Australia were almost pure carnivores, despite the few yams. Those wombats must have been delicious.

              However tiny slow caterpillars have a cunning way to survive and propagate. They turn into butterflies and can cover large distances on the wind. So it is unlikely that they are unique to a tiny area. It is more likely to be a typical invention of someone who did not want development.

              The Labor/Green party when planning a $100Bn+ Very Fast Train from Brisbane to Melbourne budgeted $400Million just to study ecology along the rail line. Seem cheap? At 2,000km, this is $200,000 per kilometer to study caterpillars and frogs. At a wage of $100K per ecologist, this is work for 4,000 ecologists for a year covering 500 metres each or 400 ecologists for a decade each covering 500 metres a year, a metre a day looking for caterpillars. Typical crazy stuff from the Greens. What is the chance the line is never built?

              All this was before Climate Change. Now no one will survive, except the caterpillars.

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    • #
      John F. Hultquist

      And in America:

      TIME’s Kayla Webley spoke to Robert Holmes, a flood expert with the U.S. Geological Survey, about some of the largest floods in America’s history.
      The Mississippi River, 1927, is listed as #1.

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      • #

        John mentions the worst flood in US history here, The 1927 Mississippi flood.

        It’s amazing how art follows life.

        Led Zeppelin covered that flood on the IV album, and that song is still one of my favourite Led Zep songs, along with Kashmir.

        That song, When The Levee Breaks was a total rework of the original song written a year or so after the time of the flood, by legendary blues artists Memphis Minnie and Kansas Joe McCoy.

        It’s great to be able to trace the history of music back when covers of songs are done, because it adds context.

        The link to the original song (naturally) doesn’t show them doing the song live, as it is from 1929. It shows a couple of images of the pair as well as scenes from this disastrous flood, and what it also shows at the end is another sign, as mentioned in the headline Thread from Tony Thomas, only this sign mentions how a disaster like this lead to measures to see that if and when it happened again, it was nowhere near as bad as this 1927 flood.

        We find ways to adapt to anything like this. We don’t just sit around and say ….. Oh woe is me! We do something about it, and that’s something other than putting up a scaremongering sign.

        Link to the original song


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      • #
        Another Ian


        As I recall there was another near record flood in that river somewhere about the 1970 – 80 period.

        And I may still have the article where it was estimated that (due to “river reconstruction” by shipping channels, flood plain modifications etc) that it was done on considerably less water,

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  • #

    I remember that sign. That it is still there, in that condition, is a perfect metaphor for the decaying state of the global warming narrative, containing within it the expression of well meaning ignorance that infests so many believers. The river Rother used to be navigable to this point, this river basin being the centre of the medieval iron industry. Nearby Rye and Winchelsea were built by the romans as ports when they first came about 2000 years ago. They are now a mile or so inland as the longshore drift of shingle, that has continued since the ice age has blocked and diverted that river meaning that it will always flood in heavy rain in the basin. This tidal force built the Dungeness Peninsular which now is home to a nuclear power station and a very large wind farm, both soon to be obsolete industrial relics.
    The National Trust, unworried by Islamic Jihad but fearfull that “climate change” puts silverfish under their carpets, might well, in future, preserve their fading sign in remembrance of a lost past and of the weird beliefs held by the populace at that time.

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  • #

    With signs that claim people can alter complete earth/solar systems by changing a few personal lifestyle habits it must raise the slightest BS alarm bells even for the simplest of believers, the effects of these actions are secondary to participating and conforming to the desired mindset, this is and always has been the outcome of such inane unrealities.

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    • #
      Rereke Whakaaro

      I have it on good authority that brushing ones teeth with the left hand causes climate change.

      All left-handed people should, by law, be registered, and required to brush with the right hand, only. To encourage this, we propose to sponsor advertising in, and on, all media outlets, and also at all sporting events, social gatherings, and within the workplace. The slogan is: If you want them white, then use the right!

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  • #

    The NT is on to something. A couple of thousand years ago the Claudian invasion of England came ashore where it’s now dry land. A few centuries of no cars, turf roofing, candles and walking…they got that ocean right down!

    In fact, if you search for the old mouth of the Rother River…it’s a couple of kilometres inland at New Romney! Big bloody flood in 1287 started the siltation etc, but we can be sure the Plantagenet ban on SUVs was a big help in beating back that sea.

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    • #

      80 sq. Km of the Rother valley was flooded by a storm in 1960. In fact, parts of the lower valley are below sea level and have always been prone to floods.

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    • #

      Simple sea level explains little, but a mix of sea level fluctuations and actual (stuff-that-happens) climate change is pretty dramatic. Here’s a map of the Dutch coast showing change between 500 AD and 1555 AD.

      In the seventeenth century, scholars did a comparison of their contemporary coast with the period around 1240 AD for the coast of Schleswig. This is too small but worth straining the eyes:

      It’s said that the Grote Mandrenke of 1362, about as bad as storms get for Europe, made Amsterdam a seaport…but buggered everyone else.

      When we live in times of open discussion and curiosity about the natural world it will be great to know more about medieval storms, surges and sea incursions. Right now a storm like 1287, 1362 (or 1953 for that matter) would be blamed on you-know-what within a day. I can hear it now: “While no single event of this kind can be attributed to AGW, it is nonetheless consistent with a majority of the models….”

      Doesn’t seem to be much of way to advance knowledge,does it?

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  • #

    And in the meantime we’ve got snow in Queensland. The ice age is starting again.

    We’re doomed.

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    • #

      I was watching the news this morning and apparently the climate experts said that this wouldn’t happen again for at least another 10 years. Imagine the surprise if it happens next year and the next and so on. I sure hope it wasn’t Tim Flannery saying it won’t happen again.

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      • #

        Well, I don’t know about the periodicy of Queensland snowfall, but is just keeps on happening from time to time, and the media go ape about it from time to time. Only now, it will probably become some doom-laden sign of CAGW/climate change/climate variability (I do love that one!) or whatever they have decided to call it this week. It may well happen next year, or next week for that matter. When I lived in Warwick we had light snow, and that winter my agronomist neighbour (with a properly sited Stevenson screen) recorded -12C one morning, and we had a lot of heavy frosts that year as well. It’s weather, it gets hot, it gets cold.

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      • #
        Olaf Koenders

        I hope it WAS Flim-Flam saying QLD snow won’t happen again. that’d be yet another idiotic foot in his overpaid mouth.

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      • #

        We can rest assured that when this cold winter passes and spring comes to an end global warming will start again in summer.

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      • #
        Glen Michel

        Some models are suggesting another episode at the end of their runs. GFS extended I think. Unprecedented! I scream.

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    • #

      That’s unfair. It was the one thing Victoria had over Queensland and now you have snow too.

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      • #

        We’ve had snow on and off for ever TdeF, even as far north as the Atherton Tableland west of Cairns on occasion.

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        • #

          Now that just makes holiday packing difficult.

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        • #

          Hey Bushkid – we used to live in Cairns and one weekend went up to the tablelands for a leisurely drive and picnic (think it was a Saturday).

          Well it blew a storm, rained like crazy and was so cold we had to abandon our picnic and in the end settled for a pub meal at Heberton – Royal Hotel I think it was.

          You really have to visit that area to understand how cold it can get even though it’s in the tropics.


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    • #

      It was a good moment, when we saw Queensland and NSW experiencing a healthy dump of snow and some serious cold, courtesy of the NZ MSM. The silence on climate change / global warming was deafening, all one could hear was background tinnitus.
      No one dares, no one. They fear being shredded by laughter and they are terrified of being considered irrelevant. The challenge is thus far unspoken. Articulation cannot be far away.

      In the meantime, what was possibly the most telling thing was to listen to thrilled eight and nine year old children playing in the snow with unfettered joy having never experienced the white, cold powder, and having grown up being told at school that they would be very unlikely to see such a thing.

      No doubts now where the greatest climate impact lies, for it lies in the real world and it’s not in the catastrophism, the adjustments, the lies and propaganda, the obfuscation and climate ‘skience’, the eco-marxist ideology and MSM confabulation.

      Cue….sigh….it’s going to be that sad time again…bring on the exploding heads video. How many times do we have to tell you, there was no snow. No, there wasn’t. No. No!

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    • #
      john karajas

      Remember the BOM raving on about Australia’s “record heat wave” a few months ago?

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      • #
        Olaf Koenders

        But.. But.. Climate Change ©®™∞ means ALL weather will become more extreme.. Except we’ll only fudge summer figures because it’s supposed to be warming.

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    • #

      10cm of snow in Blackheath, NSW, this morning, Great Western Highway closed all the way to Golburn. If this goes on we will be ruined, unless the Main Roads people invest in a snowplough! Does one day of snow provide 97% certainty of a coming ice age? Be very afraid!

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    • #
      Andrew McRae

      Holy cow. I had to check the news to see if you were joking.
      Snow in Queensland. That probably explains why I needed the heater on during the daytime as well as night. Well blow me down with a snowblower… except we don’t have snow blowers up here because it only gets a thick coating once every 31 years apparently.

      It’s an awkward fit with the AMO hypothesis of climate forcing, as in 1984 the AMO had stopped cooling 6 years earlier and turned into warming. This time round it is about 3 years after the AMO stopped warming and went into cooling. Maybe it happens with the change of the direction? Or maybe it’s just chaos.

      If we see any more kooky coldness like this we may have to consider that in preparation for the Paris summit the Gore Effect has gone global.

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  • #
    Mike Spilligan

    The UK National Trust was first “infiltrated” by leftie activists more than 25 years ago and has been increasingly advised by that informal group ever since – so that now even the top level of its management are “believers” and conforming to AGW thinking. (I put “infiltrated” in quotation marks because those people joined as bona fide supporters of NT principles and objectives. No doubt a membership base of 1 million was a draw, too, and there may have been some collusion.)
    The hurricane of 1987 was very unusual, but not exceptional. Only a year or so before it happened some weather experts (NOT climatologists, if that word had been invented then) had been saying that the UK was possibly “overdue” such an event.

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      Ian Hill

      I visited the UK in 1988 and managed to get within 30 metres of Princess Diana. I thought there were two big storms just before then, both of which uprooted 300 year old oak trees.

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      • #

        I was in the UK in 1987 and recall Michael Fish (BBC weatherman) advising ‘no problem’ prior to the devastation caused by the gales. Someone it is said, phoned the BBC the following day to advise that when driving their solitary Porsche into London on the M4 they had been passed by a traffic cone in the fast lane.

        It’s quite funny really. This was before the climate and ideological wars began in earnest and the UN eco-marxists started to exert themselves with any serious intent. Since then of course, humour is in seriously short supply, one of the societal casualties of the Green eco-marxist mania and of course a classic societal red flag signally the demise of rationality proportionate to the Green encroachment.

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  • #

    The National Trust, aka the ‘Keepers of Past Monuments of Greed, Misery, Violence, and Folly’, lost the plot on what people want many years ago. 
    In Britain it is not good to find oneself living in a National Trust recognized ‘listed’ property, for it bring with it an eye-watering amount of expense. Everything from property insurance to basic maintenance will be subject to the scrutiny of NT, to ensure that it is up to their ‘expert’ standards. Note National Trust properties are not allowed to be modernized or upgraded in any way without their permission, such permissions are rarely ever given as the NT enforces a stasis view on properties, maintaining that property must stay in their ‘expertly’ proscribe version only.
    Like most organizations that are quasi-governmental and staffed by unaccountable and mostly self described ‘experts’, they have long ago exceeded their original basic remit to protect the British national heritage of buildings and property. These days they’ll slap ‘preservation orders’ on any pile of builders waste they deem historic, thereby giving themselves a good excuse to claim more government assistance (via myriads of farm, agriculture, and other subsidy funds), relentlessly begging for more ‘charity’ money from National Trust members and the British public.

    With The National Trust and English Heritage ‘preserving’ anything thought to be heritage throughout the land, they are ensuring that Britain will became little more than a theme park for tourists and little else. So look away other countries this is not the model you want for your country’s history preservation.
    For Britain the National Trust – owning 632,000 acres, will ensure that only the right (vetted) people live in their picturesque towns and villages, and no room is made for a modern, industrially enterprising, forward thinking British people employed in actually inventing, engineering, or manufacturing anything the rest of the world wants.
    So come to Britain for a historic view of life preserved in the heritage aspic and littered with windmills.

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  • #
    Phillip Bratby

    I’m one of those people who was a member of the NT for best part of 40 years, until the Helen Ghosh statement in April. No more of my money will be wasted by the NT.

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  • #

    Put up some signs saying “No Flooding Allowed Here” and ensure that rising water levels follow the signs.
    If the rising water does not follow the signs, then prosecute it.

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    • #
      Olaf Koenders

      Too bad you can’t sue the water board or council, because although they claim to own it for reasons of revenue and control, they’ll wash their hands of it as soon as it happens and causes damage.

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      • #
        Rereke Whakaaro

        Too bad you can’t sue the water board …

        Hmm … swap two letters, and you get, “Too bad you can’t use the water board …”.

        Water-Boarding! – what a good idea!

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  • #

    We had some severe gales in the UK North Midlands in 1962, I think. Our local big houses lost many trees. It did not major on the national news, though, because the media luvvies live too far away. I expect it was the end of the Sheffield storm mentioned here.

    For some serious weather you need to see Sallie Baliunas’s Weather Cooking talk. Of course, the intelligentsia of the day decided that burning lots of women alive was the optimum solution.

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  • #

    I am thinking of signing up to the National Trust, just so I can resign in disgust

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  • #

    17 July: WUWT: Despite the ‘urgency’ of Paris climate talks, a U.N. sponsored global poll rates climate change dead last
    From the United Nations “MY World” initiative, which has recorded the opinions for All Countries & Country Groups with votes of 7,679,273 at the time of this writing…
    The data collected so far is telling, at least about opinions surrounding global warming aka climate change. It is dead last in the list of concerns queried…

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    • #

      The only one the UN cares about is Climate Change, the publicly acknowledged key to political power, wealth and soaking the rich countries and a role for the UN. All that stuff about health, education, peace, welfare, political freedoms. What does that matter compared to wealth and power for the UN bureaucrats? Climate Change may be science rubbish, but it is the key to power. They can do nothing about that other stuff anyway.

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  • #
    John in Oz

    I always think it strange that people who advocate that everyone ‘eat local’ do not consider that the extension of this is that there must be no exports from one area to another.

    Of course, the ‘eat local’ brigade really mean ‘eat as locally as possible’ and just forget about all of the non-local items we like to consume but cannot grow locally as they do not wish to be inconvenienced by being absolutely locked into the beliefs they espouse.

    And why stop at eating locally? Why not only use local manufacture?

    [snip] (IMHO)

    [Please avoid such words. They add nothing to the discussion. Thanks.] AZ

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    Roy Hogue

    It seems to me that eliminating all the leeks would be a good start on stopping any flooding. So why would anyone want to grow more of them?  ;-)

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  • #
    Roy Hogue

    Sorry! Sometimes I can’t help myself.  :-(

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  • #

    Alarmist forecasts are a must,
    To those in a National Trust,
    As they more than agree,
    With the I.P.C.C.,
    Whose creed has now failed and is bust.

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  • #

    I wonder if the National Trust has considered these other exceptional historical weather events culled from Chronology of Notable Weather Events by Douglas V. Hoyt 

    In England, on October 10, the following is stated: “Remarkable drought in the Thames Valley on October 10th, 1114AD: ……Simeon of Durham…records: ‘In this year, the river which bears the name of Medway, for a distance of some miles, receded so far from its bed, on the sixth day before the ides of October, that in the very middle of it not even the smallest vessel could make the slightest way.’”
    Considered to be one of the driest years on record: on the 10th October, the Thames at London was so low that men and boys were able to wade across the river. (Combination of notably low tide & the aforementioned drought). (Some sources have the date as the 15th) [Note that the river had a completely different character to that of modern times.] (B)

    Then starting in the latter part of this year and continuing in 1115, England has the most severe winter to date. Several wooden bridges are destroyed by the frost.
    Very severe winter: the frost lasted for about 9 to 11 weeks and nearly all the bridges in England were damaged by ice. (B)

    A year of ‘excessive’ rains in England (B; “The Weather” (Kimble & Bush))

    Quoting Warkworth’s Chronicle of the first 13 years of the reign of Edward IV (i.e. 1461-1474), edition of 1839, published by the Camden Society, pp. 23 & 24. “In the same yere (XIII of King Edward the 4th 1473 [new style, 1472 old style]) Womere waters ranne hugely, withe suche abundance of watere, that nevyr manne saw it renne so moche afore this tyme. … And this Wemere [sic] is vij myle [4.3Km] from Sent Albons [St Albans, River Ver], at a place called Markayate [Markyate] ; and this Wemere ranne at every felde afore specified, and nevere so hugely as it dyd this yere, and ranne stylle to the xiij day of June next yere folowynge. Also ther has ronne suche other waters, that betokeneth lykewyse [refers to ancient superstition that bourne flows presage “derthe or pestylence or grete batayle”] ; one at Lavesham in Kent [modern Lewisham in S.E. London], and another byside Canterbury called Naylbourne and anothe at Croydone in Suthsex [Croydon, Sussex], and another vij myle [4.3Km] a this side the castelle of Dodley [Dudley, W. Midlands?] in the place called Hungeravale ; that whenne it betokenneth batayle it rennys foule and trouble watere ; and whenne betokeneth derthe or pestylence, it rennyth as clere as any watere, but this yere it ranne ryght trouble and foule watere.”

    In England, droughts with very hot summers occurred in these three successive years – assumed to be applicable to South/Central England only. (In the period 1473-1479, there were 5 fine summers in this seven year period: 1473, 1474, 1475, 1477 & 1479). (B)

    A terrible bubonic plague that struck London last year ended this year killing sixty eight thousand people and this year most of London is destroyed by fire including eighty seven churches, thirteen thousand homes (about 80% of the city) and a new law required they be rebuilt of brick and stone. The Great Fire of London lasted 4 days in September. The fire however helped contain the plague.
    January Thames frozen over.
    In the summer, a severe drought in England reduced the flow of the Thames River so much that it seriously threatened to ruin boatman; the dryness may have contributed to the Great Fire in London that September.
    On 27th June: Heat wave began: mostly dry in London since the 12th.
    On 5th July, 1666, Pepys writes: “extremely hot … oranges ripening in the open at Hackney”.
    July 6th: Beginning of period with occasional showers/heavy rains though often warm.
    July 26th: Hail ‘ as big as walnuts ‘ in London and 27th on Suffolk coast.
    The climatological summer (June, July & August) of 1666 was amongst the top 10 or so of warm summers in the CET series (began 1659). (B)
    In August and September, the drought over these two months is noteworthy because it preceded the Great Fire of London; apparently the east wind, which prevailed during that period, had dried the wooden houses of London until they were like tinder. When the fire started early in September (12th/New Style), the east wind drove the flames before it and helped the fire to spread rapidly; smoke from this reached Oxford in the days thereafter. The prevailing weather was noted as ‘hot and dry’, and strong east Winds during the fire caused great problems with fire-fighting. On the 2nd/old-style (the first day of the fire), a ‘strong’ east wind is noted – Evelyn notes this as a “Fierce” eastern wind in a very dry season. It is not clear though whether the wind was caused by the fire, or was there anyway. However, Evelyn does note that there had been a….”long set of fair and warm weather”. On September 4th (14th new-style), Evelyn still notes: “The eastern wind still more impetuously driving the flames forward.”Later on the 5th, the wind is noted as ‘abating’ — again not certain whether this was due to the fire burning itself out. In any case, this was effectively the end of the Great Fire.
    On 15th September: Foul weather in the southern North Sea began the breakdown of the long dry warm summer weather (see previous).
    On 19th September: The first considerable rainfall quenched London fire: rainy autumn followed. (B)


    In England on May 25 at Deptford, p428: “There had scarce fallen any rain since Christmas.” Also on June 12 p428: “It still continued so great a drought as had ever been known in England, and it was said to be universal.” Also “Drought from end March – mid July”

    The arrival of Europe’s worst ever storm. Records of it destruction can be found for France, Holland/Belgium, and Germany.

    On November 26-27, the “Great Storm” struck England wrecking over 100000 homes and crippling the Royal Navy. Thousands died. 30000 sailors were lost at sea. The poorly built Eddystone Lighthouse is destroyed. “Sea salt is often contained in rain, and after the ‘great storm’ of November 27th, 1703, salt was found on the trees fourteen or fifteen miles from the coast. A letter from John Fuller, of Sussex, dated December 6th, 1703, published in the Philosophical Transactions for 1704, says, ‘We live ten miles off the sea in a direct line … but that the sea-water was blown thus far, … all the twigs of the trees the day after were white, and tasted very salt.’”

    In England, Thames frozen for 2 months, frost fair took place. Ice on Thames in London lifted around 15 feet by a flood tide but remained intact! The ice must have been astonishingly strong.
    In early 1716, the Thames was frozen at London; a great number of shops and stalls were established on the river. A frost fair is held on the Thames (previous ones in 1564, 1608, 1620, 1634, 1677, and 1684).
    In September, “A year of drought. A cold dry spring was followed by an equally dry summer, though without great heat……On September 14th the bed of the Thames lay dry above and below London Bridge. This was caused by a combination of drought, strong westerly winds and high tides…. ”
    On September 14, the Thames was dry above and below the London Bridge.

    A drought started in England and would continue of and on to last until June 1734.

    Second year of drought.
    Drought in England. A dry year in England (see 1741). Very dry, after a ‘great frost’ at the start of the year. Very cold first period of the year, with much snow and ice. London recorded -18c. A warm summer. This year resembles 2003 quite closely, very dry with a minimum of -18 recorded in London (-18c recorded in Aviemore January this year? (2003)) followed by a warm summer (ours has been hot 100F reached and breached) But the similarities are evident, especially on the side of drought.

    1732AD Third year of drought.
    Drought in England continues for its fourth straight year. Also noted in England, for 1733/34, one of the warmest winters (by CET) in the series which began in 1659. Up to 1997, rank=9 Value=6.10; Dec=7.6, Jan=4.3, Feb=6.4 (Others: 1686, 1796, 1834, 1869, 1935, 1975, 1989 and 1990.) (B)

    Drought in England continues for its fifth straight year, but finally ends in June.

    On November 23, a tremendous hurricane throughout England that did considerable damage to shipping.

    In summer, the warmest on record in England. In July, the great drought in England leads to spontaneous fires

    In England, continued cold from last year. Severe winter. Continuous frost from the 23rd to 31st December, 12th to 19th January, and 31st January to 6th February. Ice on the Thames from late December to late January. Some places completely blocked. 25th December 1830 was cold, with -12c recorded in Greenwich.

    In January, the Thames is completely blocked by ice. Murphy’s Almanac predicts 20 January as coldest day of the year in UK. It is coldest day of the century.

    On February 4, Holmfurth England is flooded by a bursting reservoir with many lives (90) are lost and factories destroyed.

    On September 5, heavy rains brought widespread flooding to England, causing the Severn Valley to be turned into a continuous sea.

    On January 14-February 24, a severe frost in London with continued cold weather to June 26.

    On November 16-17, great floods in the north of England with farms destroyed, mines flooded, mills thrown down, etc; 20 people drown at Leeds.

    In 1868-69, England experiences its warmest winter of record.

    On November 15, the Thames rose by more than 28 feet flooding London.

    In England, the winter of 1878-1879 is another snowy one. In the north, snow cover remained for 3 months. Snow recorded in November, December, January, February, March and April.

    On November 15, the Thames overflowed between Oxford and Windsor causing extensive flooding and damage.

    In February in England, reports of “The upper Thames frozen over at Windsor”.

    In December in Nairnshire, England, a severe drought. For the past few months, complaints have been made among farmers and rural residents in Nairnshire as to the scarcity of water to such an extent as has not been experienced within the memory of older inhabitants.

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    • #

      Good stuff, Tomomason. A few real world facts. I’d like to contribute these, from the late Robin Stirling’s ‘Weather of Britain”:
      Floods are nothing new in the UK. For example, in 1912 (Norwich) 1917 (Somerset) 1920 (Lincolnshire) 1929 (Wales) 1931 (Boston) 1932 (Yorkshire and Nottingham) and 1939 the Fens. There are others – the Lynmouth disaster in 1952, and other regions in 1942, 1960, 1968, 1976, 1987, 1995 and more.

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      • #


        The link reference does indeed go to 2008 but I thought to show major events that covers the sort of periods that The National Trust(and English Heritage) appear to be most interested in.
        The storm of 26-7 November 1703 remains the worst storm in British history. Nothing of it’s like has come close to the devastation that it caused as it traversed Europe, killing many thousands of people. There are a few references here.
        In Britain 90% of wooden bridges lost, 60% of all stone bridges, all churches with steeples were damaged, up to 50% of all building damaged in Britain, 60% of all forests in Britain. It then swept through Europe (France the Low-lands, and Germany) where the damage was also terrible.

        I find it strange that any period piece can be viewed historically without reference to the total environment that surrounded both their build or manufacture, and during their period of use.
        For instance that when John Constable painted ‘The Hay Wain’ (in fact the majority of his work) England went through a period of very benign weather with the seasonal variations almost perfect for maximum agricultural output. Very cold winters, wet and warm spring, hot summers, mostly dry autumnal fall — perfect.

        So when anyone mentions climate change to me I reflect on these past events, and the simple fact that humans are just bystanders in nature’s chaotic plays.

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      el gordo

      ‘In England, the winter of 1878-1879 is another snowy one. In the north, snow cover remained for 3 months. Snow recorded in November, December, January, February, March and April.’

      Its worth remembering 1879 was also one of the hottest years worldwide.

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      • #

        If anybody here wants to get some idea on just how bad weatherwise it could get in England at various periods over the last couple of thousand years I would suggest and recommend the Booty Meteorological site.

        After looking at some of that weather and climate history recorded there, we ourselves have lived through what would seem to be one of the most benign climatic periods lasting for over the century or so in English language recorded history

        I have browsed through this Booty Meteorological site off and on for most of the last decade.
        Unfortunately the owner of the site, a meteorologist is no longer maintaining the site since the end of 2014 due to personal reasons.
        But the British Library has agreed to archive it.

        TonyB, a very well known UK commenter and a respected student of meteorological history who has commented frequently on Climate Etc and WUWT plus a couple of other blogs was somewhat wary of the historical information that is listed here due to the usual chinese whispers corruption of history that occurs in any instance where we cannot access the direct recorded version of events written by actual witnesses of those events.

        But the sources used in this Booty site to acquire this information are arguably as near as we will ever come to getting a handle on the last couple of thousand years of weather and climate in the UK.

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    • #
      el gordo

      Newcastle is not the world, but they have the raw data for that part of the planet.


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  • #

    A reminder that the Somerset Floods appear to have been managed into existence a year and a half ago. By governments and their instruments; especially the Environment Agency.

    The man who managed to get the mess sorted out with as quickly and with as little fuss as possible by wisely tapping into local knowledge; was elevated to the back bench when he spoke up about the failure of the Agency’s management due to bowing to Green elements. A failure in appropriate management that appears to have had the nod of the National Trust for some years.

    It seems like lots of quangos and charities need a large dose of herbicide to rid them of excessive greenery.

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  • #

    “Years from now people will study climate propaganda and marvel at how stupid it was. — Jo”
    I think that plenty of us are already marvelling at the stupidity of it all. I certainly am!

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  • #
    John Smith

    considering the events that occurred in the 20th century
    if sea level rise and ‘climate change’ are our worst problems
    our children and grandchildren will be very lucky

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  • #

    Can Australia sue?

    > Dutch warmist flies to Australia to sell idea that fossil fuels will make Earth “much more unlivable” (smh)

    “Just under a month ago, Marjan Minnesma stood weeping with joy in a Dutch courtroom, as three judges handed her and nearly 900 co-plaintiffs a resounding victory in their battle to force the Netherlands government to adopt more stringent climate action targets.

    ABC Lateline, (0.55 sec), Interview: Marjan Minnesma, Director of Urgenda quote, Judge Hans Hofhius:

    “Any reduction of emissions contributes to the prevention of dangerous climate change and as a developed country the Netherlands should take a lead in this.”
    ~ ~ ~
    3 reasons Why Australia must sue Marjan Minnesma.

    1. One transatlantic flight can add as much to your carbon footprint as a typical year’s worth of driving.

    2. Air travel emitted CO2 affects climate, El Niño

    3. Drought and fire here to stay with El Nino’s return a senior Bureau of Meteorology climate scientist says.
    . . .
    To exacerbate dangerous climate change in Australia, Marjan Minnesma, currently in Cairns hiding from extreme heat, will be flying to Sydney, Melbourne and other states to discuss what can be done in Australia to fight 97% Doomsday Global Warming.

    > Australia could put her on the first plane out, but that would only make El Niño 2015 angrier.

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    • #
      David Maddison

      Flying in a commercial aircraft uses less fuel per passenger km than driving so a trans-Atlantic flight only contributes to one’s carbon footprint as driving less than the same distance (not saying carbon is bad).

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      • #

        Greetings David.

        Just because this link exists doesn’t mean it’s correct, but FWIW:

        Why flying first class increases your carbon footprint by six times (qz.com)

        “The World Bank has published a new working paper (PDF) that shows how passengers in premium airline classes create more of the C02 that leads to global warming.

        Essentially, all the extra space for high-paying customers means airlines expend more fuel to move them, especially if some of the more expensive seats are left empty.

        Plus, first class passengers tend to take more luggage.

        Controlling for relative passenger weight, the efficiency of the aircraft and the length of the trip is tricky, but the numbers in the table below represent a benchmark of how many times greater the carbon footprint is for various classes compared with the average passenger:”

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    • #
      Another Ian


      Like the extreme heat in this photo?


      And I like this comment

      “Steve from Rockwood | July 17, 2015 1:57 PM | Reply

      Al Gore on a wine tour.”

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    • #
      Glen Michel

      Abysmal stuff. We come across zealots all the time.Screaming slavering and ignorant.They would have us in their reeducation cams- or worse.No joke!

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  • #
    Glen Michel

    4 out of 5 dentists recommend climate change for that brighter smile.

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  • #

    Why don’t you British citizens paint signs and hang them on Trust property gates: Clean The Bloody Drains

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  • #

    “Hoarders , people who like to keep everything…..”

    A little off topic but “it’s just another bridge” !

    One thing that always struck me about these British Institutions, was their preoccupation with preserving

    the past.
    This bridge looks like it should have been demolished years ago, but in keeping with the “National Trust” and others like it ( Heritage Trust )… every antiquated building, artifact or piece of useless memorabilia (Maunsell Forts) is preserved.
    One would have hoped that in a climate changing world this bridge might have been washed away a long time ago… :D

    Literally millions of pounds are spent by these Institutions on “stuff” that people cannot use, but are nice to “look at” !

    and of course this “obsession” extends to places outside the UK (places they don’t even own), there is actually a “British Antarctica Heritage Trust” just in case you were feeling really nostalgic.

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  • #
    Peter C

    Tony Thomas visited the UK and found old fading National Trust signs using scary photos of flood damage and warning people to “eat local” and change their light globes to stop more floods.

    The light house walk at Byron Bay has a lot of similar signs, erected by the council and the local environment management group.

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  • #
    David Maddison

    Regarding the claim that the planet can be saved by switching to low energy light globes, are there any studies to demonstrate that of one includes the energy used in manufacture compared to incan bulbs that there is a net energy saving. Or are they like windmills, they use more energy to manufacture than they return in a lifetime?

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    • #
      Rereke Whakaaro

      That depends on the type of low energy light globe. The generation of most of the alternative globes include electronics, of some description, which obviously increases the energy budget required for manufacture, over and above the normal vacuum or gas-filled globe. I have no data on the economics.

      But, we are currently converting all of our globes to LED. Instead of a 100 Watt, 400 lumen reflective floodlight (costing NZ$4.00) with a life expectancy measured in months, we can install either a 7.5 Watt, 600 lumen LED globe (costing NZ$10.00) with a life expectancy of 15,000 hours, which are a bit bright; or we can use a 4 Watt, 350 lumen LED globe (still costing NZ$10.00) with a life expectancy of “up to 15 years”. In reality, we will probably use a mixture of both, in whatever combination works the best.

      For both LED globes, the manufacturers claim an 80% energy saving.

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  • #
    Another Ian

    And more on the light bulb area

    “Wind turbines are an ornament in electricity generation – analysis of data from our generation grid”


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  • #

    Slightly O/T. Politics will, in the end decide when the AGW scam is dead. This poll in the USA is very revealing


    If the issue is not going to rate in the USA 2016 election , how much support behind the scenes is Paris really going to get ? It suggests to me that any agreement the USA supports will be so weak , as to be irrelevant. No party wants to go into 2016 with a strong pro AGW agreement fresh in the minds of voters if this poll is correct.

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  • #

    Wait! What?

    Your theory stated greenhouse gasses would make it hotter, but instead its made it colder due to the polar vortex, which is now stronger because greenhouse gasses have made it warmer.

    new scientist: Antarctic wind vortex is strongest for 1000 years

    “In 2009, it seemed that the hole in the ozone layer above Antarctica was responsible for boosting the winds.
    Now Nerilie Abram from the Australian National University in Canberra and her colleagues have shown the ozone hole is only part of the story.
    Global warming is just as important.”
    ~ ~ ~
    90 ppm/co2 ago …
    Sydney’s lowest minimum temperature was 2.1 °C (35.8 °F) and was recorded at Observatory Hill on June 22, 1932.
    This is how it was reported in The Sydney Morning Herald the following day.

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  • #

    17 July: CarbonBrief: Leo Hickman: The Carbon Brief Interview: Prof Ottmar Edenhofer (deputy director and chief economist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research )
    On whether we need the UNFCCC: “I would be, from my point of view, not wise to abolish the UNFCCC, but it would be also, on the other hand, overly optimistic to rely exclusively on the UN process.”
    On the papal encyclical: “I am not in agreement with the encyclical when the encyclical says that in some parts of the world degrowth might be a option for climate policy.”
    On climate sceptics: “We might have a rational debate, and I hope we can facilitate this debate. As long as these people want to listen, and these people also want to have a dialogue, instead of just trying to fight for the vested interests.”…
    On talking about climate change with his children: “My daughter understands very well that if you try to change the system in such an unprecedented scale, you have to take into account some unknown things. And she is concerned about this, but she has no strong interest in the underlying scientific debate. My son has a strong interest in that, and he understands this very well.”…
    The second important insight is that we see a renaissance of coal in Africa. Incredible, large-scale coal renaissance, in particular, in countries which are economically successful. So, up to now, the increase of emissions in Africa is basically driven by oil and gas, but now coal becomes more and more important. Africa could become the future China…
    We are not obsessed by carbon pricing. We have done an analysis and we have shown that the low relative price of coal was the incredibly important main driver of the carbonisation pathway in the world. This is an empirical fact…
    So definitely we should not say that Africa is not allowed to use any coal. They can use coal to a certain extent, but then other countries, in particular, the Annex-I countries have to use less coal. And this is something which has to be reflected in a kind of a price signal. And it seems to me that when Africa is planning now, their cities, they have to take into account that the carbon price in the future will have, let’s say, 50 euros per tonne of CO2. So what will not work is that Africa will build up a carbon-intensive infrastructure – cities, roads, power-plants – and then in ten years or 20 years from now they will be asked by the negotiators please reduce their emissions…
    The 1.5C target is incredibly challenging…
    So the first one is so that we almost half the emittable budget from 1000 down to 500 gigatonnes, which is enormous…
    I would say the UN process has one major advantage. And the major advantage is it allows, produces, facilitates legitimacy. It’s not efficient at all. But it creates legitimacy. And this is a huge asset to have processes and bodies which are able to create legitimacy…
    From my point of view, I have real problems with this notion of climate sceptics, because, as a scientist, you have to be always sceptical, right? There is no science without scepticism, so that’s good to evaluate again and again things, and challenge things and raise questions. But …
    The there’s another group where arguing that, OK, we might increase the global mean temperature by burning fossil fuels and deforestation, and the increasing mean temperature might have impacts, but the impacts are not so severe as some people might anticipate. And I would say this group of climate sceptics is a group which is challenging, but there is a lot of uncertainty around the climate impacts. The crucial question is: is this uncertainty around the impacts a reason for acting, or a reason for waiting? And, from my point of view, it is a reason for acting…
    So my feeling is that with these two second groups we might have a rational debate, and I hope we can facilitate this debate. As long as these people want to listen, and these people also want to have a dialogue, instead of just trying to fight for the vested interests. As long as scepticism should help and will help to agree on scientific facts and to achieve, so to say, truth, ***in this old European sense, that is fine…READ ON

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    a reference to the following was posted on WUWT Tips&Notes:

    18 July: Reuters: Shelby Sebens: Ex-Oregon governor wanted policy to match fiancee’s paid interests: report
    John Kitzhaber, who resigned as Oregon’s governor in February over an influence-peddling scandal, told staff that state energy policies should match those his fiancée was being paid to promote for an outside group, the Oregonian newspaper reported.
    In a memo to staff the newspaper obtained through public records requests, Kitzhaber wrote that his fiancée, first lady Cylvia Hayes, ought to play the same role, as a spokesperson and advocate for his office, as she does as a fellow at the Washington, D.C.-based ***Clean Economy Development Center.
    “Cylvia needs to be advocating the same clean economy policy in her role as spokesperson/advocate for the Governor’s Office and her role as a Clean Economy Fellow. There cannot be any daylight between them,” Kitzhaber said in the 2011 memo posted on the Oregonian website on Thursday. “But this is another reason why she needs a role in developing the policy itself.”…
    The center said on its website that Hayes’ fellowship focused on advocating the economic benefits of clean economy projects. She was never on the center’s payroll directly but her fellowship was funded by two foundations, with payments made to Hayes’ consulting firm, 3E Strategies, it said…
    Kitzhaber and Hayes have fought the release of their private emails to local media…

    ***Clean Economy Development Center: Cylvia Hayes’ relationship with CEDC
    Cylvia Hayes was at no point on the payroll of CEDC. 3E Strategies, Hayes’ consulting firm, provided a portion of Cylvia’s time for CEDC’s regional acceleration fellowship. Hayes’ fellowship was funded by two foundations, Rockefeller Brothers Foundation and the Energy Foundation, in 2011 and 2012. All payments from CEDC were made to 3E Strategies.

    16 July: OregonLive: Nick Budnick: Kitzhaber told staff state policies should match Cylvia Hayes’ paid agenda
    Hayes has said she took $118,000 over two years from the Clean Economy Development Center, a national advocacy group…
    Laurie Levenson, a former federal prosecutor who is a professor at Loyola Law School, said the memo appears to show Kitzhaber saying “she’s working for them, and we better put her in a role where she can deliver.”…
    Hayes operated a Bend consulting firm specializing in renewable energy when Kitzhaber took office in 2011 for his third term.
    Kitzhaber designated her first lady and placed her in a powerful role as a government policy adviser…
    In 2012, leaders of the Clean Economy Development Center reported that Hayes helped Oregon with “a strategic approach to preventing the development of coal export facilities on the west coast.”
    This is the first indication Hayes was paid to work on coal policy, but the exact impact of her participation remains unclear. Kitzhaber came into office with a strong environmental ethic but had kept quiet about his views on coal…
    At one point, Hayes shared with Kitzhaber aides an anti-coal article from an advocacy group bashing one of the three corporations trying to build a facility in Oregon…
    As her fellowship ended, Hayes entered into a $20,611 contract in February 2013 with another group opposing coal exports…
    Another group opposed to coal exports retained Hayes in May 2013 under a $50,000 contract to work on clean economy policies..

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    Isn’t it great, fail to maintain drainage engineered to stop major flooding and then blame climate change when major flooding takes place in the UK. And here in Australia create massive areas of hard to manage with limited human and financial resources, and banning removal of fuel on the ground by hand or by burning off, and then blame climate change for very hot wild bush fires and warn that as global temperature rises there will be worst to come.

    The evil genius of the far-left is fascinating.

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    can’t copy the following. click READ MORE to read entire article. Australia gets a mention:

    17 July: Institutional Investor: Katie Gilbert: Investors Unite to Press for Action on Climate Change

    not sure if this document which was discussed at Addis Ababa has been posted:

    pdf 27 pages: 2 April: The World Bank: From Billions to Trillions: Transforming Development Finance
    Post-2015 Financing for Development: Multilateral Development Finance
    Development Committee Discussion Note
    Prepared jointly by African Development Bank, Asian Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, European Investment Bank, Inter-American Development Bank, International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group
    To meet the investment needs of the Sustainable Development Goals, the global community needs to move the discussion from “Billions” in ODA to “Trillions” in investments of all kinds: public and private, national and global, in both capital and capacity…

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    Thank you Jo, but the propaganda will never look stupid to the wilfully gullible.

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    it’s written in the stars:

    18 July: UK Independent: Tom Bawden: The ‘stars are aligning’ ahead of ‘most important environmental summit in history’, says UN climate change chief
    The most important environmental meeting in history is on course to decisively tackle climate change as an “unstoppable and irreversible” momentum builds to “green the planet”, the United Nations climate change chief has told The Independent.
    Christiana Figueres says she is confident that December’s UN summit in Paris – regarded as the most important so far – will deliver its ambitious target to agree on action drastic enough to limit global warming to 2C. Beyond this level, the consequences of climate change become increasingly devastating.
    “The stars are aligning towards a Paris agreement that will establish a pathway that keeps us within the limit of 2C,” Ms Figueres said.
    “What is unique here is that everyone is realising that this truly is a very, very urgent moment in the history of addressing climate change. That this is a moment we cannot afford to miss.
    “And because everybody is mobilised in the same direction, we actually have a very good chance of doing something meaningful.”…
    “I would be hard-pressed to find one sector that is not moving forward with communication that is so much better than we had in the past and, even more importantly, with carbon reduction commitments themselves,” she said.
    “Whether you look at the investment community, the insurance community, cities, territories, states or companies – it really is quite impressive to see the unending procession of commitment and action underway. It is unstoppable, it is irreversible. What Paris is going to do is to confirm that pathway and give it a legal basis,” Ms Figueres said…
    “Frankly what is coming into focus here is the kaleidoscope of all of the different facets that climate change actually covers and each of those facets is finding its voice and become louder and louder for an orchestrated solution,” she added…READ ALL FOR COMMENTS BY PROFESSOR RAPLEY, LORD STERN, ETC.

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      David-of-Cooyal in Oz

      I don’t understand how COP21 works. I’ve heard there could be 15,000 people attending. Is this true? How many get to vote? And by what authority? And on what do they vote?
      And who is “representing” Australia? And again, with what authority?
      Dave B

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      Unless the final release from Paris demands the immediate closure of all coal fired power plants forthwith, then all they will have is quite literally nothing.

      Will that happen?

      Not on your life.


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        Leaked information that Shorten Union Labor plan a double carbon tax if elected to government. A general emissions trading scheme and one targeting fossil fuel, as in coal fired power stations. And joined to the EU ETS, our taxes to Europe. Our economy wrecked.

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    17 July: PBS Newshour: What we know — and what we don’t — about global warming
    BY Gernot Wagner and Martin L. Weitzman
    Editor’s Note: Last year was officially the hottest year on record, according to NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Yesterday, the American Meteorological Society delivered more bad news in a report on the state of climate in 2014. Greenhouse gases continued to climb, sea surface temperatures and the global sea level hit a record high and the number of tropical cyclones increased.
    Gernot Wagner and Martin L. Weitzman, co-authors of “Climate Shock,” argue that we should insure ourselves against climate change. With a 10 percent chance of temperatures rising 11 degrees Fahrenheit or more and the catastrophic damages that could occur as a result, why wouldn’t we? Below, they lay out their case for pricing carbon dioxide pollution and discuss the economic consequences of a warming planet. Watch Thursday’s Making Sen$e segment for more on the subject.
    — Kristen Doerer, Making Sen$e Editor

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    17 July: Alaska Dispatch: Polar ice set for 6-meter sea-level rise?
    by Irene Quaile, Deutsche Welle
    That was the worrying message from a paper published in the journal Science earlier this month…
    I was able to talk briefly to one of the authors, Stefan Rahmstorf from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), who was in Paris at an international scientific conference titled “Our common future under climate change.”
    Rahmstorf described the new study on polar ice sheet disintegration and sea level as “a review of our state of knowledge about past changes in sea level in earth’s history, especially looking at all the data we have on past warm periods, due to the natural cycles of climate — the ice age cycles — that come from the earth’s orbit.”…
    ”We have had warmer times in the past, the last one was about 120,000 years ago, and we find that invariably, during these warmer times, the sea level was much higher. It was at least about 6 meters (19.7 feet) higher than today, even though temperatures were only a little bit higher, maybe one to three degrees warmer — depending on what period you are looking at — compared to the pre-industrial climate.”…
    “Basically the message is: The kind of climate we are moving towards now — even if we limit warming to 2 degrees (Celsius, 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) — has in the past always been associated with a sea level several meters higher, which would of course have catastrophic consequences for many coastal cities and small island nations.”…
    The authors of the study stress that the further back you go (they tried to estimate sea level as long as 3 million years ago), the more difficult it gets to calculate precisely how high sea level was, given that geological forces push and pull the Earth’s surface and can also cause vertical movement measuring tens of meters. This makes it hard to separate the geological changes in shoreline position from sea level rise caused by polar ice sheet disintegration.
    Still, the authors point out that small temperature rises of between 1 and 3 degrees Celsius were, in the past, like today, linked with magnified temperature increases in the polar regions, which lasted over many thousands of years…
    The researchers are not able to say how fast sea levels rose in the past, which would be a key piece of information for planning adaptation. Further research will be necessary for that…READ ON

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    David Maddison

    Why do we need Greens and other Leftists deciding how our energy is generated?

    When our energy grid was run by professional engineers we had access to almost limitless, inexpensive energy, as befitting an advanced and energy rich country like Australia.

    Now we have pensioners worried about running their heaters for more than an hour per night because electricity is so expensive.

    What a disgrace!

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    more good news:

    17 July: BBC: Chris Mason: Further cuts coming to green energy subsidies
    A cabinet source has said that a “big reset” on subsidies paid by consumers, which push up household energy bills, is coming in the autumn.
    “There is a hardening view in the cabinet that we’ve got to deal with green subsidies,” the source added…
    Within a few weeks, the solar power industry is expecting its subsidies will be cut.
    The issue of renewable energy subsidies was discussed at the weekly meeting of the government’s most senior ministers on Tuesday.
    Subsidies to the renewable energy industry, paid for by consumers, are expected to add up to £4.3bn this year…
    This week, the think tank Policy Exchange said the average household energy bill has risen by £120 over the last five years due to what they called “ill-thought through energy and climate policies”…
    But the renewable energy industry fears a cut now could seriously damage an industry at a crucial point in its development.
    “We are getting very anxious about what might be coming,” Leonie Greene, from the Solar Trade Association, told the BBC…
    “All that support costs money,” she (Energy Secretary Amber Rudd) said (in a speech last month). “We cannot ignore the fact that, obviously, people want subsidies if they are on the receiving end of subsidies, but we have to ensure that we get the good measure of it.”
    And there lies the conundrum for the government: attempting to keep bills low, supporting emerging industries and keeping to climate change targets – with the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris just a few months away now in December.

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    Huffpo profile of CREATIVE writer below: Aiko Stevenson is a freelance writer from Hong Kong who used to work for BBC World News, Bloomberg, CNBC Europe, CNN and Time magazine. She went to the University of Edinburgh in the UK and recently completed a Master of Fine Arts in Creative Writing from the University of Hong Kong.

    17 July: HuffPo: Aiko Stevenson: “If We Destroy Creation, Creation Will Destroy Us”
    Unless the global community strikes an effective deal to rein in its carbon emissions, unchecked climate change could usher in a hellish world of lethal heat, soaring food prices, and the failure of even wealthy states.
    That’s the grim conclusion of a new report commissioned by the British Foreign Office…
    Writer Mark Lynas likens a 6C world to Dante’s sixth realm of hell, replete with fireballs shooting across the sky, setting the planet alight into one never ending burning inferno…
    According to both the World Bank and the Bank of England, fossil fuel companies could lose trillions of dollars once new climate legislation comes into effect…
    ***Indifferent to the sea change that surrounds them, oil giants like Exxon Mobil, BP, and Shell are still spending billions of dollars every year in search for new sources of oil…
    According to professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, an advisor to both Angela Merkel and the Pope:
    “In order to stay below 2C, or even 3C, we need to have something really disruptive, which I would call an induced implosion of the carbon economy over the next 20-30 years. Otherwise we have no chance of avoiding dangerous, perhaps disastrous, climate change.”
    In the words of Pope Francis, “if we destroy Creation, Creation will destroy us.”…

    ***what dreamworld doe Stevenson/HuffPo live in? praising a Foreign Office propaganda report? you have to laugh.

    remember UK Independent reporting this week that BP, Shell, Eni, Statoil and Total are already planning to exploit Iran’s fossil fuel resources AND

    15 July: Reuters: UPDATE 2-Britain hopes to re-open Iran embassy by year-end -Hammond
    By Estelle Shirbon and William James
    (Foreign Minister Philip) Hammond also said he had spoken to British finance minister George Osborne to ensure that the country was ready to capitalise on the “quite substantial” business opportunities that would arise from the diplomatic agreement.
    “I think Iran will want to use some of the unfrozen assets to address some really very large infrastructure deficits, including in the oil and gas production industry, where the UK is very well placed to play a role,” Hammond said…

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    Peter Crawford

    Leeks are lovely thinly sliced and gently fried in good butter. Here in Old North Wales we typically serve them with lamb and roasted potatoes. Using them as flood-preventers has never occurred to us but if the National Trust say so then I suppose we should comply. The National Trust being the fons et origo of all leek related things.

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    David Maddison

    Two degrees (C) in Melbourne this morning amd no wind to power the windmills and dark and weak sun so no solar. Still, pensioners and other low income people will be cold and miserable due to high electricity charges bought about by the Greens / Left and their alternative energy fanatasies. Well done you morons!

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    19 July: Sydney Morning Herald: Kerrie Armstrong: Cardinal George Pell criticises Pope Francis over climate change stance
    Cardinal Pell, a well-known climate change skeptic, told the Financial Times the church had “no particular expertise in science”.
    “The church has got no mandate from the Lord to pronounce on scientific matters,” he said.
    “We believe in the autonomy of science.”…
    Pope Francis appointed Cardinal Pell to reform the Vatican’s finances nearly 18 months ago.

    19 July: Financial Times: Reformer tries to bring light to closed world of Vatican finance
    by Rachel Sanderson and James Politi in Vatican City
    In an environment known for palace intrigue, he has had to stare down fierce resistance from within the Curia, the mostly Italian Vatican bureaucracy, as he undertakes the daunting task of trying to clean up the Catholic Church’s murky finances…
    He has also distanced himself from the Pope’s groundbreaking encyclical letter last month calling for global action on climate change.
    “It’s got many, many interesting elements. There are parts of it which are beautiful,” he says. “But the church has no particular expertise in science . . . the church has got no mandate from the Lord to pronounce on scientific matters. We believe in the autonomy of science,” added Cardinal Pell, who has been criticised for being a climate change sceptic.
    However, Cardinal Pell also said the encyclical, called “Laudato Si”, was “very well received” and the Pope had “beautifully set out our obligations to future generations and our obligations to the environment”…

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    reality gets the final word, but not til the CAGW academics get their say!

    19 July: ABC: Talib Haider: Scientists warn of bad outlook for future ski seasons as climate change affects snowfall
    Recent snowfalls at ski fields in the New South Wales Snowy Mountains may have been good news for holidaymakers, but studies have shown there might be disappointment ahead for snow lovers in the long term…

    Related story: Related Story: Resorts reporting best opening ski weekend in several years.

    Research conducted by Griffith University’s Environmental Futures Research Institute has warned that snow regions in Australia must adapt to warmer conditions caused by climate change, that is increasingly turning the alpine landscape from white to green.
    Study co-author Professor Catherine Pickering said the current trends did not look promising and good years like the recent snow dump had become less frequent…
    Snow lovers still optimistic about future
    But, Canberra Alpine Club president Lloyd Meehan said snow lovers were content with the current weather conditions and snow levels.
    Mr Meehan said he believes while weather patterns changed over time, the decline was not consistent.
    “The scientists will tell us that perhaps when you are looking at pure statistical data, there has been a gradual decline,” he said.
    “But like many sports, from one year to the next it is a bit hard to actually guess what sort of snow depth we are going to get.
    “One year you will get a poor one, the next year – like two years ago – you get quite good ones.”…

    in case u didn’t know!

    Climate Change Is Literally Setting The World On Fire
    Gizmodo Australia-16 hours ago

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    18 July: Contra Costa Times: Laurel Rosenhall: California’s Air Resources Board: a bulwark against pollution or an out-of-control bureaucracy?
    The ARB, one of the most influential –and controversial — pollution regulatory agencies in the nation, conducts more than 1,500 tests each year at the lab. To environmentalists, the air board offers a bulwark against pollution, setting an example for the nation and the world on how to clean the air and fight climate change. To detractors, it is an out-of-control agency run by unelected bureaucrats who are throttling the state economy.
    “It’s come to the point that they tell you what to do, and you salute, and you hope that your members don’t fire you,” said Jay McKeeman, a vice president at the California Independent Oil Marketers Association…
    “It’s not hyperbole when I say there is probably not a more important agency — not just in this country but around the world — than CARB and what they’re doing on pollution control and climate change,” said William Becker, executive director of the National Association of Clean Air Agencies in Washington.
    The air board’s roots go back nearly half a century, to a time when thick smog smothered Southern California. Air pollution was a “menace,” in the words of former Gov. Pat Brown, the father of Gov. Jerry Brown.
    Its 2 members are appointed by the governor with the consent of the state Senate.
    A Dutch-born biochemist at Caltech, Arie Jan Haagen-Smit, took up the challenge…
    But in 1968, Gov. Ronald Reagan appointed the “stubborn Dutchman” chairman of the brand-new Air Resources Board…
    Adrienne Alvord, the California and Western states director for the Union of Concerned Scientists, said that the air board’s policies are paying off. “They have not been afraid to stand up to oil companies and auto companies, which are obviously very well-heeled interests, in the interest of achieving clean air for the public good,” she said…
    Mary Nichols, 70, is at the helm of the ARB…
    The agency, which is part of the California Environmental Protection Agency, is approaching 1,400 employees and has a budget of more than $730 million, larger than most states’ environmental agencies…
    But since Assembly Bill 32, California’s landmark climate-change law, passed in 2006, “thinking about climate change has become a part of everything we do,” she (Mary Nichols) said…
    She spoke at an international climate-change summit in Peru last December. And she’s also visited China for the launch of an emissions-trading system there.
    “I think the thing that’s probably surprised me the most is the international role that we play today,” she said…
    “The level of authority granted to ARB … is quite dramatic,” said Michael Shaw, a vice president with the California Manufacturers & Technology Association, in testimony in July over a bill that would require the ARB to carry out a plan for cutting petroleum use in half by 2030. “Taking it further, we think, is a tremendous error.”
    That’s not how Nichols sees it…
    “The science behind global warming requires that more stringent targets be met,” she said. “And California’s goal of being a leader in this field, which we believe benefits our economy overall, requires that we stay ahead of the pack.”

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    19 July: Philippine Star: Alexis Romero: Paris to hold Summit of Conscience for the Climate
    MANILA, Philippines – An international summit seeking to promote environmental awareness ahead of the Paris climate change talks will be held next week, with Sen. Loren Legarda as the lone Filipino participant.
    Hosted by the French government, the Paris Summit of Conscience for the Climate will be held on July 21.
    “It is designed to remind everyone – including delegates to the COP (Conference of Parties), faith leaders, artists, economists, UN officials and young people around the world – that protecting the planet is a deeply personal issue and ultimately our responsibility as passionate individuals,” said Martin Palmer, secretary-general of the Alliance of Religions and Conservation and consultant of the program.
    “What is unique about this project is that the faiths, along with the arts and other cultural organizations, are asking a deeply personal question – ‘why do I care’,” Palmer added.
    The summit will be opened by French President Francois Hollande and will be hosted by the Elysee Palace through Nicolas Hulot, special envoy of the French President for the protection of the planet.
    Aside from Legarda, also invited to the event were faith leaders, Nobel Prize laureates, former UN leaders, writers, environmental activists and personalities involved in humanitarian action, like Vandana Shiva and Arnold Schwarzenegger.
    The audience will include experts on the climate and environment, ambassadors from countries of the UN climate summit delegates, influential representatives from a diverse range of faith and secular communities and youth ambassadors…

    UNFCCC: Global Conscience for Climate – Why Do I Care Campaign
    Find out people’s stories and submit your own here

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    Canberra CAGW academics! of course they would, Matthew!

    18 July: SMH: Matthew Raggatt: Canberra academics slam anti-wind stance as ACT goes up breeze
    The Abbott government’s sharp direction to end funding for wind farms was a “retrograde” step which would further discourage environmental students, an Australian National University climate change leader said.
    Professor Janette Lindesay, the ANU’s Climate Change Institute deputy director, said positive opportunities remained for research into renewable energy but federal decisions did affect student and business prospects.
    “Once you change the policy environment to make it less attractive it’s most disappointing – I think it’s a retrograde step,” she said.
    “If there is clear policy saying the government is not going to be engaging with renewable energies and is not going to run a large department on climate change, obviously that’s going to affect things.”
    The climatologist praised the ACT government for it’s leadership on a renewable energy target and decision to hold another wind farm auction before the end of the year, in contrast to the federal government’s decision to direct the Clean Energy Finance Corporation not to fund wind farms or small or medium solar farms…
    University of Canberra professor of urban and regional planning Barbara Norman said blah blah…
    Professor Norman was an ACT government appointee to the ACT Climate Change Council, and has taught coastal planning and climate change units interchangeably since 2011.
    The Canberra Institute of Technology has had the biggest direct boost of any education organisation from individual wind projects, with a Renewable Energy Skills Centre of Excellence now being built, ***in partnership with renewable developers, to provide technical training for use of wind projects from next year…

    19 July: SMH Editorial: Our future is in renewable energy
    Along with clean power, the renewable energy sector could deliver jobs and global investment for decades into the future
    ***Even given the public support for the government’s shelving of this environmentally positive scheme, it is difficult to come to terms with Mr Abbott’s subsequent apparent mission to curtail all efforts to develop and support clean alternative energy in Australia…
    The purpose of government is to safeguard the future of its populace. One of the ways it can do this is by fostering an environment that promotes creativity and innovation, industry and enterprise. It must do this in the context of a natural environment that is safe and healthy for its people.
    Renewable energy ticks all these boxes. The Abbott government needs to put ideology aside and promote renewable energy for the good of the country.

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    playing to his audience:

    18 July: UK Western Morning News: Prince Charles exclusive: We must tackle climate change
    Tackling global warming is the greatest challenge humanity has ever faced, the Prince of Wales tells today’s Western Morning News.
    In an exclusive interview before the Prince and the Duchess of Cornwall arrive for a three-day visit to the Westcountry on Monday, His Royal Highness warns that we have just 35 years to save the planet from catastrophic climate change.
    He says with a global population boost of around three billion by 2050 the 90 trillion dollars of global infrastructure development predicted to take place over the next 20 years must be “as carbon neutral as possible”…
    And he warns that while global summits later this year on tackling the crisis will help, the “real work, by governments, the private sector and civil society has yet to begin”.
    But the Prince – who takes the title Duke of Cornwall when in the Westcountry – puts his faith in farmers as those “best placed to manage the landscape and wildlife.” In what will be seen by many in the South West farming community as welcome words of support during difficult times, he says farmers are, in the main, “conservationists by nature”.

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Who will be the next IPCC chairman?

The last time an IPCC chair position was up for grabs was in 2001, when things were not so politicized and aggressive, and there was not so much money and power on the table. Lobbying for this role is running hot and Tony Thomas compares the five men who are standing for this role. The position will be decided by October 8, and the new chairman will presumably be influential, or at least very visible, in Paris at the UNFCCC in early December. In the elections, there is one vote per country, so it is not so much about scientific credibility (and never was, think of Pachauri) but more about the powerful voting blocks that may form with small developing nations. Given that the new chairman will be in the media frequently and soon, this post is about being prepared. No  matter who wins, I think the IPCC is unsaveable and needs to be shut down or deprived of funding as soon as possible.   — Jo

Guest Post by Tony Thomas

Five candidates have put up their hand to become chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change from October 8.

They are Jean-Pascal van Ypersele (Belgium), Hoesung Lee (Korea), Thomas Stocker (Switzerland), Chris Field (USA) and Nebojsa Nakicenovic (Austria).

The elections will be at the meeting of the IPCC in Dubrovnic, Croatia, from October 5-8. Further nominations are unlikely but it is possible that ‘wild card’ candidates could be nominated at the meeting itself, with a vote 24 hours later.

Each of the 195 nation-state members of the IPCC have an equal vote by secret ballot. The vote of Vanuatu (pop 250,000) carries the same clout as the USA’s. This means candidates, and their national backers, will be courting the myriad small states for votes, using hard and soft diplomacy as occurred in 2001.

A win requires a simple majority. If no majority occurs on the first voting round, the top two candidates are put to a run-off vote.

The chair has been vacant since February when Dr Rajenda Pachauri, 75, resigned abruptly after a 29-year-old female analyst at his TERI thinktank in Delhi filed a sexual harassment complaint against him. Pachauri has since been on bail after Delhi police charged him with  molestation, stalking, sexual harassment  and criminal intimidation. The IPCC then appointed  Vice-Chair Ismail Elgizouli (Sudan) as acting chair until October 8.

The IPCC chair position and other top roles carry no salary but give  global prominence and status. Leaders’ home governments or institutions pick up the tab.

Van Ypersele and Hoesung Lee are two of the three current vice-chairs (Elgizouli is the third). Stocker is co-chair of Working Group 1 (the science); and Field is co-chair of Working Group 2 (Impacts and Adaptation). If the IPCC operated logically, the showdown would be a contest between the Swiss-backed and US-backed candidates, whose science credentials are overwhelming.

The Candidates

Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Austria, Prof of Energy Economics

Austria’s Nakicenovic is the least-known quantity. He has had IPCC roles for 25 years since the first IPCC report, mainly on energy chapters. In the latest 5th report, he was a Lead Author of Chapter 5 (Drivers, Trends and Mitigation) in WG3 (Mitigation).

He is Deputy Director General/Deputy Chief Executive Officer of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), and former Professor of Energy Economics at the Vienna University of Technology. He has authored more than 300 papers.

Van Ypersele, Belgium, Climate models & Antarctic sea ice

Van Ypersele, 58, is profiled at Quadrant Magazine. In a futuristic  tract van Ypersele wrote for Greenpeace in 2004, he predicted that in 2039, King William V of Great Britain (i.e. today’s Prince William), will die at age 57 from the West Nile virus as a result of the planet’s IPCC-predicted global warming.

He’s a physics PhD whose research was on the effect of global warming on Antarctic sea ice – an interesting topic, as  Antarctic sea ice is at a record extent for the satellite era. (Ypersele tweeted last October 7: “Scientists explain why record-high Antarctic sea ice doesn’t mean global warming isn’t happening”). He later specialised in climate modelling. He was a lead author  for the third IPCC report in 2001, and for the fourth report (2007) chaired plenaries for the three Working Groups.

Dr. Hoesung Lee, Korea, Economics

Dr. Hoesung Lee is the only Asian candidate and hence has some cachet with the anti-West blocs in the UN. The absence of a third-world candidate so far is surprising. Hoesung Lee earned his PhD in economics from Rutgers University, USA. He’s an energy specialist and has been prominent on many heavyweight Korean boards, including Hyundai, and in Korean government advisory roles. He’s been a prominent IPCC author since the third report in 2001.  He speaks fluent English although Lee’s style is rather bland.

Dr Thomas Stocker — Swiss, Climate models & Ice cores

Stocker is making  a sophisticated bid for the chair and has created a cool “Thomas Stocker for IPCC Chair” website.

One section, headed “Future of the IPCC”, sets out his goals, viz:

  •  Enhancing the engagement of experts from all regions will result in more comprehensive assessments.
  • Young scientists and experts in all IPCC teams will contribute new perspectives.
  • Rigorous procedures are the foundation of more timely and frequent information to policymakers.
  • Intensified outreach by the IPCC in regions most impacted by climate change will raise global awareness and advance solutions.

Stocker’s platform clearly reaches out to nondescript IPCC members for votes. The IPCC already practises affirmative action for third-world and female recruits: Stocker seems to be adding “youthfulness” to the selection process.

He writes, “As Chair of the IPCC, I will [he means ‘would’] exercise thoughtful and innovative leadership and carefully listen to alternative views and complementary ideas, with a firm commitment to consensus…

“As Chair of the IPCC, I will [would] ensure unequivocal, clear and understandable communication that is fully rooted in the rigorous scientific assessment and that incorporates information about uncertainties in an open and transparent way.”

He also claims to have his force-multiplier in the form of support from “a Technical Support Unit and a team of international experts at the University of Bern” – something other candidates may not be able to compete with. He is Professor of Climate and Environmental Physics there.

Stocker, Zurich-born, did his PhD in Natural Sciences at ETH Zurich. His research is largely climate models and ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica. He has total faith in the IPCC’s “Atlas of Regional Climate Change Projections” for plotting changes in temperature and precipitation in all regions of the world for four emissions scenarios and for several time horizons between now and 2100 – “an incredible achievement”, he said.

In fact, the disclaimer to the Atlas says its output is not ‘forecasts’ but only projections conditional on climate forcing assumptions, shortcomings of models and ‘internal variability’ (p.1313).

Stocker is big on the ‘cumulative carbon budget’ concept for limiting warming risks, although any such budget relies on the yet-unquantified linkage between CO2 and temperature. At a Paris seminar on July 7, he said the ‘business as usual’ climate threat would stymie the UN’s sustainable development goals.

He attracted some controversy in late 2012 because of a letter he signed to lead authors in early 2010, after Climategate in 2009. He initially demanded it be kept secret, with a threat to the UK that publication could put IPCC/UK working arrangements at risk.

When disclosed, the secret IPCC letter was fairly anodyne but included a sentence, “The IPCC Chair, Vice-Chairs and Co-Chairs are working on a strategy to ensure that work on the AR5 is as effective as possible whilst at the same time emphasizing the robustness of the AR4 findings.”

This was viewed by sceptics as acknowledgement that on-going IPCC work was not open-minded but defensive of AR4. Stocker’s rival, Chris Field, is blunt about AR4’s shortcomings (see below).

Even in late 2013 and after a 16-year halt to warming, Stocker was still claiming the IPCC’s ‘simple key messages’ were:

  • “We know it’s happening
  • “We know who’s responsible” and
  • “We have a choice.”

He includes assertions about “the [assumed] near-linear relationship between cumulative carbon emissions and peak warming in the 21st century, the fact that with every 10 years of CO2 emissions rising at the current rate, about 0.5°C of climate target is being lost.” Again, this fails to mention the 18-year warming halt  in the face of very significant CO2 emissions increases.

Stocker in 2013 said climate trends required at least  30 year period, although the original 1990s warming scare was based on barely a decade of warming. He also claimed, improbably, that  “the projections of the global mean temperature were extremely good already back in 1990”. (The IPCC FAR 1990 predictions were wrong, below even the lowest possible estimate.)

Stocker received an interesting email from  East Anglia CRU’s Phil Jones [2440 in the Climategate series]: “I’ve been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process. Hard to do, as not everybody will remember to do it.” Instead of expressing abhorrence at such tactics, and upholding the IPCC’s professed devotion to transparency, Stocker responded warmly that allowing access to climate data under laws prescribing ‘open access to environmental data’ would be a ‘perversion’. (This contrasts with the line of his competitor Field,  “I think that having an IPCC that is visible, transparent and has high quality leadership is going to be an important part of making sure that the science isn’t marginalised in any country… I do think there are lot of was to be more open and more ambitious in making the process inclusive and making the process transparent.” )

For some reason Stocker has included on his “Stocker for IPCC Chair” website artwork by “renowned graphics” artist Claude Kuhn, showing someone with his head nearly underwater as a result of sea level rises.

Chris Field — USA, Biologist

Biologist Chris Field is the candidate endorsed by the US Department of State, and is endorsed by White House science czar John P. Holdren as a ‘superb candidate’. Field has his own “Candidate for Chairman” website –- not as cool as Stocker’s — where he says he has experience in all three IPCC working  groups.

He says, “I am a scientist of the highest caliber. I have tackled difficult and important research challenges, publishing over 300 scientific papers that have been cited over 50,000 times.”

Field is the founding director of the Carnegie Institution’s Department of Global Ecology and Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies at Stanford University. His research involves field and laboratory studies of impacts of climate change, from the molecular to the global scale. He was prominent in writing the IPCC Special Report on “Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation” (2012). He’s won the Max Planck Research Award, the Heinz Award, and the Roger Revelle Medal.

He supports “new levels of integrity, relevance, and clarity in IPCC’s definitive assessments of knowledge on climate change.”  He also wants more user-friendly and multi-media graphic-designed styles to improve IPCC communication: “For future reports, the IPCC has compelling opportunities for enhancing the clarity of its products. Options include enhanced editing, use of technology, and effective structuring of reports. My goal is to help authors see the reports through the eyes of users.”

Field’s efforts towards communicating WG2 findings in AR5 extended to raising a million dollars personally for author travel, training, and outreach to the public.

Talking about IPCC prose, Field says “It’s like trying to write poetry, but with hundreds of people shouting suggestions in different languages. So it’s a real challenge, but I think it’s the most important challenge we face.”

In one extraordinary argument, Field says the IPCC should start with the summary for policy makers and work back from there to the science chapters:

“My feeling is that we should really start with the synthesis report, and figure out how to construct working group reports that feed into that in the most useful, integrated way. One of the questions – it’s been open for discussion in past reports – is, well, do you know what the questions are for the synthesis report until you’ve done the working group reports? And I think that now we have so much knowledge, and so much sophistication about the climate change issue, and, in fact, we can go the direction of designing a synthesis report, figuring out what angles we’re going to take, what are the question that are going to be explored, and then customising the working group reports so that they contribute to that set of goals in the most effective way.”

It is interesting that Field foresees IPCC outputs continuing indefinitely, after a flurry of third-party views that perhaps the IPCC reached its use-by date with its 5threport of 2013. Field elaborated: “I’m not sure the IPCC has decided to do big assessment reports. They’ve decided to keep the basic structure of the three working groups, with an increased focus on the synthesis report and with a series of special reports.”

He hints at improving on the lamentable PR snafus of his predecessor Pachauri, and stresses that he would manage well the delicate relationships between the chair and the IPCC 195-country panel of governments which calls the final shots on IPCC output. “I understand…the many options for phrasing any one finding,” he says, referring to the all-important synthesis reports crafted by the governments. The crafting can involve all-night wranglings  about what to say and what to leave out – such as the 5th report’s admission that 111 of 114 models are running too hot.

In a nice back-hander at Pachauri, Field says “In AR5 we were a lot more attentive to quality control than we were in the AR4”.

His interviewer Roz Pidcock in Paris July 8 seemed comically unaware the criminal charges against Pachauri. She asked Field specifically to detail Pachauri’s achievements as chair. Field ducks and bobs and merely says that every IPCC leader and participant is credit-worthy.

On scientists as advocates, he says (without addressing the objectivity/credibility problem): “Well, most scientists are parents, they’re teachers, they’re grandparents, they’re members of churches. The fact that someone has a PhD behind their name doesn’t mean that’s all they are. So when I speak as a representative of the IPCC, I tell the IPCC’s story. If I speak as a parent, I speak from my personal experience and my aspirations for my own children.”

On expressing his personal views if elected IPCC chair: “It would be irresponsible to ignore the strong identification that whenever I appear as IPCC chair, I will be identified as such, rather than as the parent of two lovely children.”

He is a fan of IPCC special ad hoc reports, and mentions oceans as a possible topic: “Oceans are kind of a new topic, in the IPCC, and one that’s richly interdisciplinary.”Odd that after 30 years climate work, he still sees oceans (71% of the earth’s surface) as ‘a new topic’. Field also mentions potential topics such as food security and desertification, neither of which are running the IPCC’s way.

He says increasing the engagement in the IPCC of “regional diversity, gender diversity, diversity of seniority” are “all really really important.” Such statements nullify the oft-repeated mantra that the IPCC comprises the world’s finest cohort of climate scientists.  Like Stocker, he seems to be appealing now to the youth vote.

IPCC  — other elections, candidates and voting

A large number of other IPCC positions are up for grabs. Candidates for slots on the IPCC governing Bureau are Thelma Krug (Brazil), Edvin Aldrian (Indonesia),  Serhat Sensov (Turkey),  Gregory Flato (Canada),  Sergev Semenov (Russia),  Carlo Carraro (Italy), Amjad Abdulla (Maldives, pop 350,000 ), and Cheik Mbow (Senegal).  Other candidates for non-specific Bureau slots are Fahmuddin Agus (Indonesia),  Peter Adek Omeny (Kenya) and Fatma Betui  Bayguyen (Turkey). Australia, despite its prominence among IPCC authors, fields no candidate.

Voting for the routine Bureau positions involves quotas. IPCC members are arranged into blocs as follows: Africa, 54 countries with 7 guaranteed positions on the 33-member Bureau; Asia (32 countries, 6 positions); South America (12, 4); North/Central America (23, 4); SW Pacific (22 including Australia, 4); and Europe (52, 8). Note that  USA and Canada have no more seats than the Australasia/SEA axis.

Contrary to many people’s understanding, the Paris climate talks in December are under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), not the IPCC. The IPCC is a participant and the new IPCC chair will have a prominent role.


Abbreviations: WG2: Working Group 2. WG1: Working Group 1.

Rating: 8.2/10 (13 votes cast)

Who will be the next IPCC chairman?8.2 out of 10 based on 13 ratings 



Tiny Url for this post: http://tinyurl.com/ncnuhrt

31 comments to Who will be the next IPCC chairman?

  • #

    I guess not being ( almost ) refused visas for the next chairman could be a good start…..  ;-)

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  • #

    How come Tim ‘The Predictable’ Flannery isn’t on the list?

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    • #

      …Because he is “too Flannery” even for the IPCC! :D

      He (Chris Field) says increasing the engagement in the IPCC of “regional diversity, gender diversity, diversity of seniority”are “all really really important.”

      …There’s that Leftist bingo again!
      => “regional diversity”
      => “gender diversity”
      => “diversity of seniority”

      What the flying fire truck does “gender diversity” have anything to do with the climate?

      (The last excuse I heard regarding Climate Change and gender is that the rise in temp will make women get “in heat” and thus, will cause more to become single mothers. So we must give women’s groups (Feminists) more money under the banner of “gender budgeting”…Seriously, they don’t even hide they’re scammers any more! Its the callous audacity of which they speak that is most concerning! Its incoherent nonsense!)

      Look at this strategically…

      (1) US Govt
      => Left-leaning Administration. (Democrats)

      (2) US State Department
      => Filled with Obama appointees.
      ==> John Kerry => Secretary of State => Endorsed Obama for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination.
      ==> Tony Blinken => Deputy Secretary => Former Deputy National Security Advisor for Obama.
      ==> Heather Higginbottom => Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources => Served as Policy Director of the Obama for America campaign.

      (3) John Holdren => White House science czar
      ==> Known supporter of Democrats.
      ==> Advises for Obama.
      ==> Advised for President Bill Clinton. (As one of the science advisors from 1994 to 2001).
      ==> His academic background focuses on the causes and consequences of global environmental change, population control and energy technologies and policies.

      My point?

      * A State Dept with Leftists in leadership and management positions. (Who were appointed by a Leftist Govt).
      * A science czar who has a history of advising for Leftist Govts and is a known supporter of Left-leaning party.
      * Both endorse a Leftist-speaking, climate-change-supporting biologist for the leadership of the IPCC.
      * …Which itself is pushing a Leftist issue that is Climate Change for its own existence.

      So Lefties in power and decision-making positions endorse other Lefties for the leadership position in an international organisation that promote a modern Leftist issue.
      (Which the Right don’t agree with, and the general public don’t care about.)

      …All on the American taxpayer!

      The difference between these guys and Flannery is that we got Flannery out of the taxpayer’s trough and he is now forced to pander to the public for money. (Crowd-funding).

      They say Australia is the “lucky country”. No kidding! …We didn’t just dodged a bullet, but evaded a barrage of BS! (While USA is neck-deep in debt-drowning nonsense! Until the next Election.)

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      • #

        Well, we’re not that far removed or immune to following in the footsteps of the US/Europe. The welfare society (or push for such) is as strong in Australia as anywhere in the world.

        Not a day passes by when I don’t read in the news of another group demanding taxpayer money for some ‘major’ problem that ‘only’ government (taxpayer) money can solve.

        The latest I read was a demand for money to prevent the demise of Kookaburras, et al, the former which seem to be laughing at such suggestions every morning and evening in our neck of the woods.

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      • #

        John Holdren – advocate of all sorts of bizarre stuff, including planetary govt and forced sterilizations to control population …..

        Quotes below from a book he co-authored – “Eco-Science”


        Sterilizing humans through adding drugs to the water as long as it doesn’t harm animals , but humans are OK to control :

        “Adding a sterilant to drinking water or staple foods is a suggestion that seems to horrify people more than most proposals for involuntary fertility control. Indeed, this would pose some very difficult political, legal, and social questions, to say nothing of the technical problems. No such sterilant exists today, nor does one appear to be under development. To be acceptable, such a substance would have to meet some rather stiff requirements: it must be uniformly effective, despite widely varying doses received by individuals, and despite varying degrees of fertility and sensitivity among individuals; it must be free of dangerous or unpleasant side effects; and it must have no effect on members of the opposite sex, children, old people, pets, or livestock. “

        Advocating a global ( Socialist ) govt :

        “Perhaps those agencies, combined with UNEP and the United Nations population agencies, might eventually be developed into a Planetary Regime—sort of an international superagency for population, resources, and environment. Such a comprehensive Planetary Regime could control the development, administration, conservation, and distribution of all natural resources, renewable or nonrenewable, at least insofar as international implications exist. Thus the Regime could have the power to control pollution not only in the atmosphere and oceans, but also in such freshwater bodies as rivers and lakes that cross international boundaries or that discharge into the oceans. The Regime might also be a logical central agency for regulating all international trade, perhaps including assistance from DCs to LDCs, and including all food on the international market.

        The Planetary Regime might be given responsibility for determining the optimum population for the world and for each region and for arbitrating various countries’ shares within their regional limits. Control of population size might remain the responsibility of each government, but the Regime would have some power to enforce the agreed limits.”


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  • #
    John McLean

    I see a bunch of liars lining up for the big prize. It’s a case of having five dishonest people and having to choose one.

    The better-known candidates all claim that human activity caused the warming (non-existent for the last 18 years) but none have a shred of evidence. The reason is simple – the IPCC has never had the evidence to support its claims about a human influence on climate.

    The IPCC’s charter directs it to investigate the risk of any human influence and after 1995 it was directed to support the UNFCCC, so saying that a human influence was negligible and only localised due to UHI and land-use changes would be suicide for the organisation.

    It’s all a house of cards built on the bullying and alarmist publicity of the UNFCCC.

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  • #

    The Belgium, Swiss and USA candidates would be the worst for all purpose particular the USA candidate who is beholden to the socialists in the Obama camp. The Belgian has made some idiotic comments about climate. It looks like the Korea might be the best as he has had experience with private enterprise, eg on the board of Hydundai (which started off as a cement company before going into ship and car building, and appears to understand economics but then the Korean head of the UN has been captured by the socialist alarmist (but luckily South Korea is more pragmatic and operates some of the best and safest Nuclear reactors in the world).

    [snip] On the other hand the Austrian school of economics should be studied by more world leaders, finance ministers and government treasurers. If he follows that line of economics he could have a positive influence.

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  • #

    So two economists, a Natural Science PhD, a Biologist none of them actually anything like Meteorologists. The IPCC was setup by the World Meteorological society, clearly to coordinate action between governments on issues of meteorology. The only one who has anything like the hard science qualifications is Ypersaly, a Belgian physicist apparently but one who appears to be a few sandwiches short of a picnic, kangaroos in the back paddock or two coupons short of a toaster. Still they cannot be worse than the 27 year rule of railway engineer Pachauri who travelled 360,000km per year lecturing on the evils of air travel. Can they?

    Shut down this silly, pointless, fantasy IPCC. The damage it has done is immense. The good it has done is zero.

    As for the UN Framework group run by the daughter and sister of ex Presidents of Costa Rica, a woman who openly wants to overthrow world governments for a communist model based on China, none of this has anything to do with climate. Australia should not attend Paris. It is not even the IPCC. The Green vote in Australia is 14%, but it is totally aligned with Labor anyway, so why not stop people attending the Paris commune on government or local government salaries? Make a stand against Climate insanity.

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    • #

      Trying to understand this “physicist”. Anyone who believes that mankind has increased CO2 above 4% is in denial of simple physics, so it is a puzzle.

      “I was as much interested by human issues and development issues than by scientific issues such as astronomy and physics..I was about to direct my career towards astrophysics I decided .. to specialise myself on climate change instead.

      ..my first degree was obtained doing a thesis on the effect of CO2 on global climate with .. very simplified climate models. Then I specialised myself in the study of sea ice and the ocean circulation around Antarctica, and went to the US .. and did my PhD thesis on the effect of CO2 warming on sea ice and ocean circulation around Antarctica

      So he is an admitted activist who has built his entire career on CO2 drive Climate Change rather than physics. So any suggestion that CO2 is not the reason for Global Warming is a denial of his life’s work.

      He needs to examine whether the CO2 in the air is from ancient fossil fuels in the first place. It isn’t. So whether CO2 produces any warming at all is quite irrelevant. There is nothing governments can do about CO2. Henry’s law controls CO2 levels. This man is a much a physicist as Tim Flannery is Australia’s leading Climate Scientist.

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  • #
    el gordo

    As Jo said the IPCC should be deprived of funds and shut down, but this won’t happen for a short while, a couple of years at least.

    The five candidates are aliens, so they won’t be getting my vote.

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  • #

    It should be explained to whatever reptile that gets the position that “up for grabs” isn’t a literal description of what’s on the table….on or off. ;)

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  • #

    Why bother with a real person when it is obvious that the IPCC has access to the expertize to computer model the required correct ‘person’.

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    • #

      Are we talking A.I. computer development or A.I. the result of a jerk that develops the ultimate vapid model?

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      • #

        Not just vapid but a whole new paradigm in virtualized vapidity unseen until now. With new and upgraded positive feedback parsing, improvements to the lexiconic library of semantic sophistry, the passing of the future returns here, now!
        It heralds an open era of closing yesterday’s failures whilst enabling tomorrow’s advances in closely tied circumlocution argumentation. So embrace of de-yesterdaying of tomorrow today! With the exciting possibilities super-vapid technology.

        Please note all source code is proprietary software, and property of the UN and and subject to NSA/EU/Chinese top-secret regulations.

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  • #
    John F. Hultquist

    And the carbon foot print of this meeting, prior horse trading, and what ever — will be what?

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  • #

    Where’s Kevin Rudd? The IPCC needs a Moral High Groundist for when the seas rise, shirley?

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  • #

    Actually, I’m available, and I could do with a part-time job to supplement my pension.

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  • #
    Rereke Whakaaro

    It is interesting that Climate Change has become a really hot topic, in the Pacific, over the past three or four months.

    This is aided and abetted of course, by several severe weather events. But these were not at all unusual for the region, for this time of year, but are now caused by climate change, for some reason.

    The Chinese have been very active in providing assistance to various Pacific nations, for several years, and that is probably just normal geopolitics. But what is different, is the “sudden” interest shown by South Korea, and for some reason, the European Union (as a bloc), in also “providing assistance” to Pacific Nations.

    The Pacific represents between 17 and 20 votes (depending how Dependencies are viewed), and at least 15 of those would be vary grateful for promises of development grants, or infrastructure investments.

    I am not going to pick a winner – I have been around too long to do that. But if you are making predictions, you need to take this into account.

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    • #
      Peter C

      This is aided and abetted of course, by several severe weather events

      That might be a response to cyclone Raquel, east of the Solomon Islands, which was declared a cyclone by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, when the estimated central surface pressure dropped to 998Hpa!

      More frequent and more severe cyclones!

      We had an east coast low south of Victoria a few days ago which brought rain to Victoria and snow to southern Queensland. It had an estimated central pressure of 990 Hpa (not a cyclone).

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    • #

      Wouldn’t that be extreme irony Rereke, a Chinese candidate. Geopolitics being the board game that it is.

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  • #

    The more fanatical they are the less credibility their fanatical ravings of these academics lunes will have with the public.

    The more sane, sober and evidence based (i.e. sceptical) the less they will do.

    There is an argument that a certain percentage of academics will always be lunes – and it is better to focus their energies on something like global warming where governments rightly just string them along year after year …

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  • #

    Field says the IPCC should start with the summary for policy makers and work back from there to the science chapters …

    Reversing the null hypothesis – a much favoured tactic, since it avoids answering any direct questions on empirical evidence

    Well, here’s an hypothesis:

    Michael Jackson was the second coming. Now you prove he wasn’t

    [See how easy it is to do]

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  • #

    Impressive list. Yes sir.

    Van Ypersele: “in 2039, King William V of Great Britain (i.e. today’s Prince William), will die at age 57 from the West Nile virus as a result of the planet’s IPCC-predicted global warming.”
    . . .
    Though it is hard to beat a fool-proof prediction like this, a dark horse to consider, Sir Bob Geldof:

    “Bob Geldof has claimed that the Earth as we know it could end by 2030 thanks to the ravages of climate change.
    We may not get to 2030.”
    . . .
    If only the next 3 weeks winning lotto numbers were also included as evidence of their numerical predictive abilities.
    I could easily spend a billion before the predicted climate apocalypse, confident in their soothsaying abilities.

    If only …

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    • #

      Bob Geldof was the first Kim Kardashian. Apart from one good piece of music he is epitomises publicity porn in the service of his own deification.

Those Climate Cult Kiddies: Part II

Several of our largest banks backed the Australian Youth Climate Coalition and still found themselves accused of raping the planet. When dealing with fanatics it pays to bear in mind that rationality, unlike dispensers of ill-considered corporate sponsorships, is in short supply

scary kidThe Australian Youth Climate Coalition (AYCC) enjoys such a red-carpet ride into schools I am surprised principals haven’t just handed their classroom keys to AYCC operatives and gone home.

AYCC in schools promotes its green message of “moving on” from coal and gas to “100% renewable energy” before 2024. Australian coal and gas exports currently are worth $40 billion and $30 billion respectively, and will be an engine of growth in the coming half decade, the AYCC’s worst efforts notwithstanding.[1]

Schoolkids also lap up AYCC’s moral fables of  ‘saving’ the Reef/Environment/Planet/You Name It from fossil-fuel/Big Bank/IPCC-denying men in black hats.

From the outset AYCC has targeted schools. Its 2011 report  said AYCC submitted details on ‘sustainability’ teaching to the  Australian Curriculum Assessment and Reporting Authority, “and based on our recommendations, they agreed to re-evaluate their approach to sustainability, resulting in some much-needed amendments. This was a great win for AYCC!” Today, “sustainability” is one of the national curriculum’s three mandatory cross-curriculum priorities that are said to “enrich” syllabi for schools.

March of the Climate Cult Kiddies: Part I

Last year, AYCC in its national “Start the Switch” program ran eight two-day school summits for  a total 1000 students who were fed AYCC’s version of global warming catastrophes.[2]“Start the Switch” then went on “to reach up to 20,000 young people through five regional workshops, high school presentations, and participant outreach in 400 schools.”[3] This year, the AYCC’s  Student Climate Action Network got under way, to  “give high school students the extra support they need to successfully contribute to AYCC’s national campaigns.” One example of that support is the video below, part of the AYCC campaign to instruct both teachers and students in How to Talk About Climate Change.

The video  asserts as “true” that the South Polar ice cap has shrunk by 20%; claims Australia can be powered by 100% renewables by 2020; and features a  dorky sceptic kid wearing (literally) a tinfoil hat who rants, “Climate change doesn’t exist!”

Another AYCC schools video features a pretty young blonde in blue AYCC rig-outpromising (50 seconds in), “Ten years from now we will be at the start of our careers. Imagine if we had tens of thousands of new green jobs to choose from!”[4] That green shtick is accompanied by images of anti-Vietnam-war protestors, Martin Luther King, and the famous “tank man” from Tiananmen Square.

Various AYCC schools presenters have been trained by Al Gore’s Climate Reality Project. Mr Justice Burton of the UK High Court  ruled in 2007 “that Gore’s video, An Inconvenient Truth, can only be shown to UK schools after teachers had read an alert  to their students about the movie’s nine scientific errors.” No such alerts are required in Australia.

Some Australian businesses that backed AYCC have got their just desserts. Former AYCC chair Anna Rose in her book  Madlands referred to  “the silent screams of our struggling planet”[5]  Today, the silent screams are more likely coming from former ally National Australia Bank. NAB as donor got its logo on the first four annual reports of the Australian Youth Climate Coalition from 2008. But last July, AYCC  launched  its “Dump My Bank” campaign, with NAB in the cross-hairs, along with the other three members of the Big Four. The accusation is that those banks ‘refuse  to rule out’   lending to coal companies which are  ‘destroying’ the Great Barrier Reef.

NAB headquarters, branches and managers have been afflicted with AYCC zealots,  plus mock screens on ATMs asking, “Wreck the Barrier Reef for a new coal port?”.

Westpac, now similarly besieged by AYCC, was starry-eyed enough to help fund AYCC’s seminal “Power Shift” conference in 2009, where a Westpac executive skited about her bank’s climate-change credentials.[6]  Bad move. AYCC now distributes posters: “Love the Reef? Dump Westpac.”

AYCC’s Daniel Spencer says AYCC had urged the Big Four for a year without success to rule out financing the Abbot Point expansion, and now AYCC is taking the campaign to the next level by asking customers to move their funds elsewhere.

I noticed this graffiti (below) on my ANZ and Westpac terminals at Moonee Ponds today. It seems to originate from a Friends of the Earth affiliate, but the message is identical with AYCC’s.

atm stickerA big beneficiary of the Dump My  Bank  campaign is Bendigo Bank, rival to NAB and Westpac. Community-based Bendigo Bank  has no Queensland resource  developments to worry about.

Bendigo Bank doesn’t donate to AYCC. That would be crass. Instead the bank is a dominant donor to Cool Australia, which greenwashes the brains of students in half of Australia’s primary and secondary schools. Cool Australia,  in turn, promotes AYCC and AYCC’s Dump My Bank campaign to the kids.

The ultimate power in AYCC is held by a group known as “Full Members” who pay a token ($10) joining fee and elect the directors. Who these Full Members are, I can’t discover.[7] The only hint is in the 2011 report, where a dozen “partner groups” are listed, such as the Youth Affairs Coalition, Law Students’ Association, and Engineers Without Borders. The report says these groups “continue to play an important role in electing the board”. But the 2013 and 2014 reports are silent even on who the “partners” are and what role, if any, they play.

AYCC’s Spencer says AYCC structure changed, that it is now an independent organization, working in partnership with others but with no formal ‘coalition’. In other words, some cross-promotion and ad hoc joint efforts.

The money side of AYCC is  also worth exploring. AYCC likes to pose as a minnow compared with the likes of WWF ($30m revenue) and Greenpeace in Australia. That’s true, but AYCC’s latest annual revenue of $1.1m is not trivial.

Just as Cool Australia has its millionaire backers (the Kimberley “Just Jeans” family)[8], AYCC from inception has been backed  by aged-care and radiology ex-tycoon Robert E. Purves. Purves 56, is  a Governor of AYCC and his  fund matches AYCC donations dollar-for-dollar.[9]  Purves rates AYCC, which he has supported since 2007-08, as his best charity project. In addition, he has funded special AYCC projects and provided non-cash  help for AYCC  to “solve the climate crisis”.[10]

Purves, with sister Sandra, inherited a fortune from their father, Sir Raymond Purves, in the shape of 18% of  loco-maker Clyde Industries. The 1994 BRW Rich List put Robert and Sandra’s net worth  at $55 million, and in 1999, at  a peak of $87m. Robert as DCA Group chair and a pioneer shareholder,   developed it to an  aged-care and radiology giant from a $10m start-up. In 2004 he sold half his DCA shares (for an amount I can’t discover), and with a $10m deposit, started the Purves Private Fund Trust charity. Two years later, DCA was bought by a Citigroup affiliate for $2.7 billion.

Since 2004, Purves’ top-level environment fund has been doing fine.  From earnings and capital growth of more than $3 million per annum for the past  two years it has donated about $1.2m pa to environmental not-for-profits and used the balance to build up its reserves. After a decade of  giving, the fund’s net assets grew handsomely to $16.2 million last year. [11]  Purves has also gifted more than $5 million personally and helps fund   Earth Hour Global  and other  eco-silliness.

Purves also helps fund  Cool Australia’s work pumping green and climate-change education into the school system, with the backing of the education unions and a host of  curriculum apparatchiks and politicians. A grazier in the NSW southern highlands, Purves has funded many worthwhile land-care projects. However, he was bitten by the climate-catastrophe bug and got himself on ABC TV by going to Greenland in 2011 and hyper-ventilating about the alleged melting of the ice-sheet.[12]

Purves has backed Tim Flannery’s views with adulation and money,  for example financing conversion of Flannery’s apocalyptic tome The Weather Makers into lurid memes for schoolchildren.  In 2005 he started, and still funds, the formalized Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists, which combines useful land and water care with global warming horror-shows from the likes of Professors David Karoly, Lesley Hughes and drought-forecaster Flannery.

AYCC’s income under the heading ‘Philanthropy’ was $221,000 in fiscal 2014, compared with ‘Donations’ of $529,000. ‘Philanthropy’ appears to include the income from Purves trusts. In the past four years, AYCC ‘Philanthropy’ income has averaged about $240,000. Curiously, in late 2011, AYCC said most of its core funds came from “grants from philanthropic foundations”. In respect of project funding, it listed companies, other non-profits, foundations, major donors, governments and finally “small individual contributions from our members” . 

The AYCC’s statutory report says it received $96,000 in  government grants in fiscal 2014 (9% of revenue), compared with  only $24,000 (3%) in 2013. But in fiscal 2012, taxpayers kicked in $270,000, or 34%, of AYCC income. [13] Nice to know that taxpayers are underwriting the efforts of children and their handlers to attack our key exports.

AYCC statutory accounts show that its leaders are not money-oriented. Good for them.  When first establishing AYCC, Anna Rose worked for nothing, relying on two days paid work with GetUp to cover the rent. For the first two years, no-one at AYCC received a proper wage; thereafter pay was about $20 an hour.

In 2013 the total pay to ‘key management personnel’ was only $130,000, up from $93,000 in 2012. In 2014 the total fell to $104,000, with new information that the $104,000 covered two people (possibly not for the full 12 months each).[14] National co-directors at that time were Kirsty Albion and Lucy Manne (daughter of Latrobe’s Robert Manne). Lucy Manne left early this  year.  Albion is now National Director. National co-directors at that time were Kirsty Albion and Lucy Manne (daughter of Latrobe’s Robert Manne). Lucy Manne left early this  year.  Albion is now National Director. I met her at a ‘non-political’ evening at the Moonee Valley City Council last August.

AYCC’s Spencer says AYCC funds are tight and wages are in line with award requirements.

The non-monetary rewards are considerable. Apart from frequent travel to UN jamborees (where AYCC leaders work even harder than normal)[15], a spell running AYCC is enough to get  a young woman showered with honors and career paths for having saved the planet. Rose alone has collected eight gongs, and four out of five finalists for (Labor’s) Prime Minister’s Young Environmentalist of 2013 were AYCC women.

One of AYCC’s proudest moments was scoring an interview with then-IPCC chair Rajendra Pachauri at Cancun in 2010. One hopes that the randy warmist kept his mind on catastrophism, rather than carnality.

Perhaps the AYCC should now take a break from saving the planet, and mobilise its kids to save Pachauri, 74, who quit the IPCC chair abruptly in February after 11 years at the top. New Delhi police have charged him with  sustained sexual harassment of a 29-year-old female employee, and if convicted he could get seven years.

Tony Thomas blogs at No BS Here (I Hope) 

[1] LNG export volumes will treble to $47b, for example.

[2] RSS and UAH satellites record no atmospheric warming for the past 18 years

[3] AYCC annual report, 2014. P8.

[4] AYCC’s Spencer says the previous target of 41,000 GwH of renewable power by 2020 involved 24,000 prospective green jobs. Base load power would come from new solar-power concentrators and new types of battery storage.

[5] Madlands P337

[6] Westpac/AFR in 2014 named AYCC co-founder Amanda McKenzie as one of their 100 Australian ‘Women of influence’.

[7]  Flannery’s Climate Council also does not disclose its board-electing “Members”. Perhaps the Charities Commission should include this information in its mandatory reporting requirements.

[8] Craig sold his business for $64m in 2001

[9] Purves Environmental Fund Annual Report, 2014 p11

[10] He’s also president of WWF Australia.

[11] Purves Private Fund, 2014 Report

[12] In 1942 a flight of six US Lightnings, ‘the lost squadron’,  crash-landed on ice near Greenland’s east coast. In 1992 the planes were discovered, below an astonishing 82 metres of ice. So much for the ‘melting Greenland ice-cap’.

[13] Sister organization GetUp declines government funding

[14] In 2012, the full-time Director of Operations and the Campaigns Manager were on only $40,000 each.

[15]  E.g. “collaborate with young people from around the world on major media stunts and actions.”